全球金融危机后重组措施对银行风险的影响——来自越南的经验证据

IF 0.3 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE
T. T. Tran, Y. Nguyen
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引用次数: 1

摘要

2011年11月签署的254号项目涉及“2011-2015年信贷机构体系重组”,被认为是越南政府防止2008年金融危机影响的一个里程碑。本文确定了从2008年开始的10年内评估重组措施对越南商业银行风险影响的假设。使用OLS回归方法,通过在SPSS中运行Eviews和ANOVA检验,对越南31家商业银行的216个观察结果的唯一数据库进行分析,发现:(i)2015年越南国家银行的纾困活动对银行风险没有影响,(ii)并购不支持银行降低风险,它增加了收购银行的风险,(iii)2008年的全球危机对越南的银行系统造成了可怕的后果,(iv)经历不同运营年限的银行集团之间存在风险差异。基于这一结果,本文还向政府、越南国家银行和商业银行提出了对越南银行体系发展进行有效风险管理的建议。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Restructuring Measurements Impact on Bank Risk After the Global Financial Crisis — Empirical Evidence from Vietnam
Project 254 signed in November 2011 which is relating to “Restructuring the system of credit institutions in the period of 2011–2015” has been considered as a milestone in marking the Vietnamese government to prevent the influence of the financial crisis of 2008. This paper identifies hypotheses evaluating the impact of restructuring measurements on the risk of the Vietnamese’s commercial banks in 10 years, starting from 2008. Using the OLS regression method for analysis by running Eviews and ANOVA test in SPSS with a unique database of 216 observations of 31 commercial banks in Vietnam, it was found that: (i) The bail-out activities of the State Bank of Vietnam in 2015 does not influence on bank risk, (ii) The mergers and acquisitions (M&A) do not support the bank to reduce risk, it increases the risk for acquiring banks, (iii) The global crisis 2008 exerts dire consequence on the bank system in Vietnam, (iv) There is the difference of risk among the groups of the bank experiencing a different number of years of operation. Basing on this result, the paper also makes recommendations to the Government, The State Bank of Vietnam and the commercial banks for effective risk management toward the development of the Vietnamese banking system.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
11.10%
发文量
36
期刊介绍: This journal concentrates on global interdisciplinary research in finance, economics and accounting. The major topics include: 1. Business, economic and financial relations among the Pacific rim countries. 2. Financial markets and industries. 3. Options and futures markets of the United States and other Pacific rim countries. 4. International accounting issues related to U.S. companies investing in Pacific rim countries. 5. The issue of and strategy for developing Tokyo, Taipei, Shanghai, Sydney, Seoul, Hong Kong, Singapore, Kuala Lumpur, Bangkok, Jakarta, and Manila as international or regional financial centers. 6. Global monetary and foreign exchange policy, and 7. Other high quality interdisciplinary research in global accounting, business, economics and finance.
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