中低收入国家转诊医院在COVID-19大流行第一年的医院变化:一项大型单中心队列研究

Carmelo Dueñas-Castell, W. Coronell, Diana Borré-Naranjo, Amilkar Almanza, Leydis Lora Lián, R. Navarro, J. Rojas-Suarez
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引用次数: 0

摘要

背景COVID-19感染的临床表现具有异质性。入院率、重症监护室(ICU)入院率和死亡率在几个月内表现出很大的差异。哥伦比亚新冠肺炎感染率高,导致发病率和死亡率高。到目前为止,只有少数研究报告了峰值变化。因此,我们旨在探索新冠肺炎流行病学随时间变化的潜在原因。方法本研究于2020年3月7日至2021年2月28日在哥伦比亚卡塔赫纳的一家三级转诊中心进行。我们包括年龄在 > 患有疑似或确诊新冠肺炎18年。使用逆转录聚合酶链式反应(RT-PCR)试验进行诊断。我们从哥伦比亚国家监测系统(SIVIGILA)提取了信息。我们收集了人口统计数据,如年龄、性别、RT-PCR检测结果和密切接触者信息(对疾病的认识)。根据哥伦比亚定义的两个峰值,我们将研究期分为两个阶段:第一个阶段包括第10-35周(2020年3月7日至8月30日),第二个阶段包括36~60周(2021年9月1日至2月28日)。我们通过协变量调整了每周总死亡率,以确定疫情期间的潜在变化。结果共有2761名新冠肺炎患者在我院住院。最显著的病例数分别发生在第21周(峰值1:121名患者)和第50周(峰值2:128名患者)的第一期和第二期。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Hospital variations during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic in a referral hospital in a low-to-middle-income country: A large single-center cohort study
Background COVID-19 infection is characterized by its heterogeneity in clinical presentation. Hospital admission, intensive care unit (ICU) admission and mortality rates have shown wide variations throughout the months. Colombia experienced a high rate of COVID-19 infection, leading to significant morbidity and mortality. To date, there are only a few studies reporting peak variations. Therefore, we aimed to explore the potential reasons for epidemiological changes in COVID-19 with time. Methods This study was conducted at a tertiary referral center in Cartagena, Colombia, between March 7, 2020, and February 28, 2021. We included patients aged > 18 years with suspected or confirmed COVID-19. A diagnosis was made using the reverse-transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) test. We extracted information from the Colombian National Surveillance System (SIVIGILA). We collected demographic data, such as age, sex, RT-PCR test results, and information on close contacts (awareness of the disease). We categorized the study period into two according to the two peaks defined in Colombia: the first period included weeks 10–35 (March 7–August 30, 2020), and the second period included weeks 36–60 (September 1, 2020-February 28, 2021). We adjusted the weekly overall mortality by covariates to identify potential changes during the pandemic. Results In total, 2761 COVID-19 patients were hospitalized at our institution. The most significant number of cases occurred in the first and second periods during week 21 (peak1: 121 patients) and week 50 (peak2: 128 patients), respectively.
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