乌克兰官方统计中家庭抽样调查的25年经验:主要资产,问题,前景

V. Sarioglo
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引用次数: 0

摘要

自1998年以来,乌克兰国家统计局在按照国际建议和标准组织和进行家庭抽样调查方面积累了丰富的经验。目前,统一的调查体系包括家庭生活条件调查、劳动力调查和农村地区家庭农业活动调查。每年约有100000户家庭接受调查,这些家庭代表了这些调查的各种样本中的所有私人家庭。乌克兰国家统计局(以下简称乌克兰统计局)是乌克兰统计局的领土机构,培训了大量具有必要知识和技能的专家。本文考虑了SSSU在组织和进行家庭抽样调查、收集和处理调查数据、统计指标估计的方法和实践方面的主要经验特点。讨论了所获得的经验的长处和短处、改进调查的潜在方向、未来可能影响其结果质量的风险、开发抽样调查系统的计划以及使用新的数据收集和处理方法。值得注意的是,所获得的经验使我们有可能在2021年制定在乌克兰引入欧盟收入和生活条件统计(EU-SILC)等实际调查的基础,以预见新数据收集技术CAPI、CATI和CAWI的使用,而不会出现任何特殊问题。同时,调查显示,根据调查结果估计指标的一些重要方法尚未得到实施。值得注意的是,SSSU面临的一个紧迫问题是在家庭调查中使用“大数据”,这为在调查期间显著减轻家庭负担、提高有关家庭信息的完整性和及时性、降低调查提供成本等提供了机会。这些数据还可以提供对战争期间某些重要统计指标的估计。讨论了主要使用CATI和CAWI技术进行州家庭抽样调查加速过渡的风险,涉及由于SSSU专家缺乏相关技能、人口互联网使用水平不足、,乌克兰缺乏具有高质量数据的人口和户籍等。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
25 Years of Experience in Household Sample Surveys in the Official Statistics of Ukraine: Main Assets, Problems, Prospects
Since 1998, the state statistics of Ukraine has accumulated a huge experience in organizing and conducting household sample surveys in accordance with international recommendations and standards. Nowadays, the harmonized system of surveys includes the Household Living Conditions Survey, the Labor Force Survey and the Survey of Household Agricultural Activities in rural areas. About 100,000 households are surveyed annually, which represent all private households in various samples of these surveys. A significant number of specialists with the necessary knowledge and skills have been trained in the State Statistics Service of Ukraine (hereinafter - SSSU), territorial bodies of the SSSU. The article considers the main characteristics of the SSSU experience in the field of methodology and practice of organizing and conducting the household sample surveys, collecting and processing surveys’ data, statistical indicators estimation. The strengths and weaknesses of the acquired experience, potential directions for improvement of surveys, risks that may affect the quality of their results in the future, plans for the development of the system of sample surveys and the use of new methods of data collecting and processing are discussed. It is noted that the acquired experience made it possible to approach in 2021 to the development of the basis for introduction of such actual survey in Ukraine as the EU statistics on income and living conditions (EU-SILC), to foresee the use of new data collection technologies CAPI, CATI and CAWI without any particular problems. At the same time, it is shown that some important methodologies regarding the estimation of indicators based on survey results have not been implemented. It is noted that an urgent problem for the SSSU is the use of "big data" in household surveys, which provides the opportunity of significantly reducing the burden on households during the survey, improving the completeness and timeliness of information about them, reducing costs for survey providing, etc. Such data could provide also estimation of certain important statistical indicators during the war. The risks of an accelerated transition for conducting the state household sample surveys mainly using CATI and CAWI technologies are discussed, related to the possibility of a significant deterioration in the quality of the survey results due to the lack of relevant skills of the SSSU specialists, insufficient level of Internet use by the population, lack of population and household registers with quality data in Ukraine, etc.
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