印尼风险承担渠道与货币传导机制

Pristanto Silalahi, T. Falianty
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在通过印尼的风险承担银行来分析货币和宏观审慎政策。风险承担渠道分析在货币政策传导机制中的重要性在于,它是一种较新的途径,不同于货币政策理论中先前提出的银行贷款渠道。这种风险承担渠道通过银行在处理银行风险时根据银行行为的变化来决定信贷渠道,从而影响银行的信贷供应。该研究还认识到货币和宏观审慎政策的影响、银行特征的作用,以及经济增长和通货膨胀率等宏观经济条件。所使用的分析方法是通过2012-2019年期间的面板数据得出的固定效应。本研究使用了三种类型的指标来衡量风险,第一种是Z分数衡量方法,第二种是风险资产数量与总资产的比率,第三种是不良贷款数量与总负债的比率。研究结果发现,货币政策和宏观审慎政策的影响显著影响银行风险。除了主要变量外,本研究还使用GDP增长和通货膨胀变量作为宏观经济条件的控制变量,这些宏观经济条件对银行风险、流动性有显著影响,而银行规模变量作为银行特征的控制变量也对银行风险有显著影响。因此,可以得出结论,印尼银行业存在风险承担渠道。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Risk-Taking Channel and Monetary Transmission Mechanisms in Indonesia
This study aims to analyze monetary and macroprudential policies through risk taking banks in Indonesia. The importance of risk-taking channel analysis in the transmission mechanism of monetary policy is that it is a newer route and is different from the bank lending channel that has been previously proposed in monetary policy theory. This risk-taking channel affects the supply of credit by banks through the bank's decision to channel credit based on changes in bank behavior in dealing with bank risk. The study also recognizes the impact of monetary and macroprudential policies and the role of the characteristics of banks, as well as macroeconomic conditions such as economic growth and inflation rates. The analytical method used is fixed effects through panel data in the period 2012-2019. This study uses 3 types of proxies to measure risk, first with the Z-score measurement method, second with the ratio of the number of risky assets to total assets and third, the ratio of the number of bad loans to total assets. The results of this study found that the impact of monetary policy and macroprudential policy significantly affects bank risk. In addition to the main variables, this study also uses GDP growth and inflation variables as control variables for macroeconomic conditions that significantly effect on bank risk, liquidity, and bank size variables as control of bank characteristics which also significantly affect bank risk. So, it can be concluded that the risk-taking channel exists in Indonesia’s banking.
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