{"title":"基于迁移学习的国家电网维护运营成本预测数学方法","authors":"Yun-peng Guo, Ying Zheng, Dong-fa Wang, Wei-bin Ding","doi":"10.1007/s11766-022-4319-7","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The electric power enterprise is an important basic energy industry for national development, and it is also the first basic industry of the national economy. With the continuous expansion of State Grid, the progressively complex operating conditions, and the increasing scope and frequency of data collection, how to make reasonable use of electrical big data, improve utilization, and provide a theoretical basis for the reliability of State Grid operation, has become a new research hot spot. Since electrical data has the characteristics of large volume, multiple types, low-value density, and fast processing speed, it is a challenge to mine and analyze it deeply, extract valuable information efficiently, and serve for the actual problem. According to the features of these data, this paper uses artificial intelligence methods such as time series and support vector regression to establish a data mining network model for standard cost prediction through transfer learning. The experimental results show that the model in this paper obtains better prediction results on a small sample data set, which verifies the feasibility of the deep transfer model. Compared with activity-based costing and the traditional prediction method, the average absolute error of the proposed method is reduced by 10%, which is effective and superior.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":55568,"journal":{"name":"Applied Mathematics-A Journal of Chinese Universities Series B","volume":"37 4","pages":"598 - 614"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0000,"publicationDate":"2022-12-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Mathematical methods for maintenance and operation cost prediction based on transfer learning in State Grid\",\"authors\":\"Yun-peng Guo, Ying Zheng, Dong-fa Wang, Wei-bin Ding\",\"doi\":\"10.1007/s11766-022-4319-7\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>The electric power enterprise is an important basic energy industry for national development, and it is also the first basic industry of the national economy. With the continuous expansion of State Grid, the progressively complex operating conditions, and the increasing scope and frequency of data collection, how to make reasonable use of electrical big data, improve utilization, and provide a theoretical basis for the reliability of State Grid operation, has become a new research hot spot. Since electrical data has the characteristics of large volume, multiple types, low-value density, and fast processing speed, it is a challenge to mine and analyze it deeply, extract valuable information efficiently, and serve for the actual problem. According to the features of these data, this paper uses artificial intelligence methods such as time series and support vector regression to establish a data mining network model for standard cost prediction through transfer learning. The experimental results show that the model in this paper obtains better prediction results on a small sample data set, which verifies the feasibility of the deep transfer model. Compared with activity-based costing and the traditional prediction method, the average absolute error of the proposed method is reduced by 10%, which is effective and superior.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":55568,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Applied Mathematics-A Journal of Chinese Universities Series B\",\"volume\":\"37 4\",\"pages\":\"598 - 614\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-12-21\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Applied Mathematics-A Journal of Chinese Universities Series B\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1089\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11766-022-4319-7\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"数学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Applied Mathematics-A Journal of Chinese Universities Series B","FirstCategoryId":"1089","ListUrlMain":"https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11766-022-4319-7","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Mathematical methods for maintenance and operation cost prediction based on transfer learning in State Grid
The electric power enterprise is an important basic energy industry for national development, and it is also the first basic industry of the national economy. With the continuous expansion of State Grid, the progressively complex operating conditions, and the increasing scope and frequency of data collection, how to make reasonable use of electrical big data, improve utilization, and provide a theoretical basis for the reliability of State Grid operation, has become a new research hot spot. Since electrical data has the characteristics of large volume, multiple types, low-value density, and fast processing speed, it is a challenge to mine and analyze it deeply, extract valuable information efficiently, and serve for the actual problem. According to the features of these data, this paper uses artificial intelligence methods such as time series and support vector regression to establish a data mining network model for standard cost prediction through transfer learning. The experimental results show that the model in this paper obtains better prediction results on a small sample data set, which verifies the feasibility of the deep transfer model. Compared with activity-based costing and the traditional prediction method, the average absolute error of the proposed method is reduced by 10%, which is effective and superior.
期刊介绍:
Applied Mathematics promotes the integration of mathematics with other scientific disciplines, expanding its fields of study and promoting the development of relevant interdisciplinary subjects.
The journal mainly publishes original research papers that apply mathematical concepts, theories and methods to other subjects such as physics, chemistry, biology, information science, energy, environmental science, economics, and finance. In addition, it also reports the latest developments and trends in which mathematics interacts with other disciplines. Readers include professors and students, professionals in applied mathematics, and engineers at research institutes and in industry.
Applied Mathematics - A Journal of Chinese Universities has been an English-language quarterly since 1993. The English edition, abbreviated as Series B, has different contents than this Chinese edition, Series A.