基于迁移学习的国家电网维护运营成本预测数学方法

IF 1 4区 数学
Yun-peng Guo, Ying Zheng, Dong-fa Wang, Wei-bin Ding
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引用次数: 0

摘要

电力企业是国家发展的重要基础能源产业,也是国民经济的第一基础产业。随着国家电网规模不断扩大,运行工况日益复杂,数据采集范围和频率不断增加,如何合理利用电力大数据,提高利用率,为国家电网运行可靠性提供理论依据,成为新的研究热点。由于电气数据具有体量大、类型多、价值密度低、处理速度快的特点,如何对其进行深入挖掘和分析,高效提取有价值的信息,为实际问题服务是一个挑战。根据这些数据的特点,本文采用时间序列、支持向量回归等人工智能方法,通过迁移学习建立标准成本预测的数据挖掘网络模型。实验结果表明,本文模型在小样本数据集上获得了较好的预测结果,验证了深度传递模型的可行性。与作业成本法和传统的预测方法相比,该方法的平均绝对误差降低了10%,是一种有效的预测方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Mathematical methods for maintenance and operation cost prediction based on transfer learning in State Grid

The electric power enterprise is an important basic energy industry for national development, and it is also the first basic industry of the national economy. With the continuous expansion of State Grid, the progressively complex operating conditions, and the increasing scope and frequency of data collection, how to make reasonable use of electrical big data, improve utilization, and provide a theoretical basis for the reliability of State Grid operation, has become a new research hot spot. Since electrical data has the characteristics of large volume, multiple types, low-value density, and fast processing speed, it is a challenge to mine and analyze it deeply, extract valuable information efficiently, and serve for the actual problem. According to the features of these data, this paper uses artificial intelligence methods such as time series and support vector regression to establish a data mining network model for standard cost prediction through transfer learning. The experimental results show that the model in this paper obtains better prediction results on a small sample data set, which verifies the feasibility of the deep transfer model. Compared with activity-based costing and the traditional prediction method, the average absolute error of the proposed method is reduced by 10%, which is effective and superior.

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来源期刊
自引率
10.00%
发文量
33
期刊介绍: Applied Mathematics promotes the integration of mathematics with other scientific disciplines, expanding its fields of study and promoting the development of relevant interdisciplinary subjects. The journal mainly publishes original research papers that apply mathematical concepts, theories and methods to other subjects such as physics, chemistry, biology, information science, energy, environmental science, economics, and finance. In addition, it also reports the latest developments and trends in which mathematics interacts with other disciplines. Readers include professors and students, professionals in applied mathematics, and engineers at research institutes and in industry. Applied Mathematics - A Journal of Chinese Universities has been an English-language quarterly since 1993. The English edition, abbreviated as Series B, has different contents than this Chinese edition, Series A.
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