新冠肺炎期间黄金和石油价格对股市指数影响的研究

IF 0.6 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Samreen Fatima, Fouzia Sohail, Yumna Sajid
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引用次数: 0

摘要

了解股票市场的波动性仍然非常重要,因为其影响多种多样。当前的新冠肺炎疫情严重夸大了整个金融市场。本研究采用GARCH模型考察了新冠肺炎疫情对巴基斯坦、印度和美国股市的波动性。此外,在GARCH(1,1)模型的条件均值方程中,石油和黄金价格被用作外生变量,以评估股票指数KSE-100(巴基斯坦)、BSESN(印度)和纳斯达克(美国)的波动性。此外,涵盖2018年6月1日至2022年12月31日期间的数据分为COVID-19之前(2018年6月份1日至2020年1月30日)和COVID-19-19期间(2020年1月份31日至2022月31日)。研究结果显示,纳斯达克的股票市场依赖性分别受到了新冠疫情前和新冠疫情期间的石油和黄金影响。然而,在新冠肺炎期间,印度股市对黄金和石油产生了重大影响,但在整个研究期间,巴基斯坦股市不受石油和黄金的影响。此外,纳斯达克市场和BSESN的风险回报率权衡最高,且更持久,分别是新冠疫情前和新冠疫情期间。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An examination of impact of gold and oil prices on the stock markets indices during COVID-19
Understanding stock market volatility has remained significantly important because of its diverse implications. The current pandemic COVID-19 has brutally exaggerated the financial market across the board. This study inspects the volatility of Pakistan, India and USA stock markets due to pandemic of COVID-19 using the GARCH model. Furthermore, the price of oil and gold is used as exogenous variables in the conditional mean equation of the GARCH (1,1) model to assess the volatility of stock indices KSE-100 (Pakistan), BSESN (India) and NASDAQ (USA). Moreover, the data covering the period from 1st June 2018 to 31st December 2022 are divided into pre-COVID-19 (1st June 2018 to 30th January 2020) and during-COVID-19 (31st January 2020 to 31st December 2022. Findings reveal that the stock market dependency of NASDAQ experienced oil and gold impact followed by pre-COVID-19 and during-COVID-19 periods, respectively. Whereas, the Indian stock market had a significant impact on gold and oil during the COVID-19 period but the Pakistani stock market was not influenced by oil and gold in the entire considered study period. In addition, NASDAQ market and BSESN have the highest risk-return trade-off and are more persistent followed by pre-COVID-19 and during-COVID-19 periods, respectively.
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