PERUÍPE、itahÉM和JUCURUÇU河流域的强度、持续时间和频率方程

Patrick Gomes Moreira, A. Vilas Boas, Priscila Félix Almeida, João Batista Lopes da Silva
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引用次数: 0

摘要

强降雨方程对水利工程具有重要的技术意义。在巴伊亚州,只有19个强度、持续时间和频率建模方程,需要为该州提供更多的方程。最近的一次已经有近15年的历史了,只有两次发生在秘鲁河、伊坦赫姆河和朱库鲁苏河流域。因此,这项工作的目的是确定位于巴伊亚州南部的秘鲁河、伊坦赫姆河和朱库鲁苏河流域不同位置的雨量站的强度、持续时间和频率方程的参数。最初,共选择了59个台站,其中只有1980年以来拥有20年以上数据和记录的台站。使用Cetesb(巴西圣保罗州环境公司)提出的方法进行降雨分解,并使用非线性广义减少梯度相互作用方法通过非线性多元回归调整参数(K、a、b和c),其中调整通过决定系数(R2)进行评估。最终,对29个方程进行了调整,确定系数大于0.99,从而提高了该地区水利工程规划的前景。这种相关性也可以通过观测数据与调整数据的回归方程来观察,其中所有雨量站的线路斜率系数都接近1.0。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
EQUATIONS OF INTENSITY, DURATION AND FREQUENCY FOR THE PERUÍPE, ITANHÉM AND JUCURUÇU RIVER BASINS
The intense rainfall equations present a great technical interest for hydraulic works projects. In the State of Bahia, there are only 19 equations of intensity, duration and frequency modeling, requiring a greater number of equations for the State. The most recent ones are almost 15 years old, with only two in the Peruípe, Itanhém and Jucuruçu river basins. Thus, the objective of this work was to determine the parameters of the equations of intensity, duration and frequency (IDF) of the rainfall stations for different locations of the basins of the Peruípe, Itanhém and Jucuruçu rivers, located in the far southern Bahia State. Initially, 59 stations were selected, out of which only those with over 20 year-old data and records from 1980 onwards. Rainfall disaggregation was carried out using the method proposed by Cetesb (Environmental Company of the State of São Paulo, Brazil) and the parameters (K, a, b and c) were adjusted through nonlinear multiple regression using the nonlinear-generalized reduced gradient interaction method, where adjustment was evaluated by the coefficient of determination (R2). In the end, 29 equations were adjusted, with coefficient of determination greater than 0.99, therefore, improving the perspective of planning hydraulic works in the region. This correlation could also be observed by the regression equation of the observed data with the adjusted ones, where the slope coefficient of the line was close to 1.0 for all rainfall stations.
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