腐败对孟加拉国、印度和巴基斯坦经济增长的影响:一种ARDL方法

IF 0.4 Q4 MANAGEMENT
M. M. Miah, Tahmina Akter Ratna, S. Majumder
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引用次数: 1

摘要

研究目的:本文的主要目的是找出腐败对孟加拉国、印度和巴基斯坦经济增长的影响。与此同时,我们的其他目标是找出腐败对这些国家经济增长的长期和短期影响。方法:为了进行这项研究,我们从孟加拉国、印度和巴基斯坦获取了数据。在这项研究中,根据孟加拉国、印度和巴基斯坦等国,从1990年到2016年收集了必要的二手数据。经济增长(依赖)和贸易(独立)数据来自世界开发银行,腐败数据来自PRS集团发布的《国际国家风险》。本研究采用了ECM ARDL模型和固定效应模型。研究发现:固定效应模型的结果显示,腐败每增加1%,GDP就会下降0.07个单位,与经济增长呈负相关。同样,如果贸易增长1%,那么增长率将平均增加0.09个单位,并与经济增长呈正相关。ECM ARDL模型显示腐败系数为正,但不显著,但贸易对经济增长具有长期的正影响。误差修正项表明这三个国家的调整被修正了70%。贡献:本文对现有的文献空白和进一步的研究有一定的帮助。这将有助于决策者在三个国家控制腐败。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The impact of corruption on the economic growth in Bangladesh, India and Pakistan: An ARDL approach
Purpose of the study: Main purpose of the paper is to find out the impact of corruption on the economic growth of Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan. At the same time, our other objectives are to find the long and short-run effects of corruption on growth in these countries. Methodology: For conducting the study, we have taken the data from Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan. For this study necessary secondary data have been collected from 1990 to 2016 based on countries like Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan. Data for economic growth (dependent) and trade (independent) are collected from World Development Bank and data for corruption are taken from International Country Risk published by the PRS Group. The study has used ECM ARDL Model and the Fixed Effect Model.  Findings: The result of the fixed effect model shows a 1percent increase in corruption decreases GDP by 0.07 units and shows a negative relationship with economic growth. Again if trade increases by 1 percent then growth will increase by 0.09 units on average and shows a positive relationship with economic growth. ECM ARDL Model shows the positive coefficient of corruption but not significant but trade has a long-run positive influence on economic growth. The error correction term indicating that the adjustment is corrected by 70% in these three countries. Contributions: This paper may be helpful for existing literature gap and also for further research. It will be helpful for policy makers to control corruption in three countries.
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