{"title":"未来日本老年人的LTC需求与德国有一定的参考","authors":"T. Fukawa","doi":"10.31488/heph.108","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Due to the highest life expectancy at birth among OECD member countries, the Japanese elderly face the risk of long-term care (LTC) needs. Japan and Germany have implemented public long-term care insurances, and both countries hoped that improving care in the community would lower nursing home usage and spending. After reviewing the LTC recipient rate of the elderly in Japan and Germany from international perspectives, the LTC recipient rate and expenditure among the Japanese elderly were estimated for the period of 2020-2070, using the results of the projection of the elderly by dependency level obtained from the INAHSIM (Integrated Analytical Model for Household Simulation) 2018 simulation. Long-term care expenditure is quite closely related to ageing and it is important to reduce the LTC recipient rate through prevention and putting the right incentives in the system.","PeriodicalId":93290,"journal":{"name":"Health education and public health","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2018-12-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Future LTC needs of the elderly in Japan with some reference to Germany\",\"authors\":\"T. Fukawa\",\"doi\":\"10.31488/heph.108\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Due to the highest life expectancy at birth among OECD member countries, the Japanese elderly face the risk of long-term care (LTC) needs. Japan and Germany have implemented public long-term care insurances, and both countries hoped that improving care in the community would lower nursing home usage and spending. After reviewing the LTC recipient rate of the elderly in Japan and Germany from international perspectives, the LTC recipient rate and expenditure among the Japanese elderly were estimated for the period of 2020-2070, using the results of the projection of the elderly by dependency level obtained from the INAHSIM (Integrated Analytical Model for Household Simulation) 2018 simulation. Long-term care expenditure is quite closely related to ageing and it is important to reduce the LTC recipient rate through prevention and putting the right incentives in the system.\",\"PeriodicalId\":93290,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Health education and public health\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2018-12-30\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Health education and public health\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.31488/heph.108\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Health education and public health","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.31488/heph.108","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
由于日本是经济合作与发展组织成员国中出生时预期寿命最高的国家，日本老年人面临着长期护理(LTC)需求的风险。日本和德国已经实施了公共长期护理保险，两国都希望通过改善社区护理来降低养老院的使用率和支出。在从国际视角回顾日本和德国老年人LTC接受率的基础上，利用INAHSIM (Integrated Analytical Model for Household Simulation) 2018年模拟得出的老年人按抚养水平预测结果，对2020-2070年日本老年人LTC接受率和支出进行了估算。长期护理支出与老龄化密切相关，重要的是通过预防和在系统中采取正确的激励措施来降低长期护理费用接受者的比例。
Future LTC needs of the elderly in Japan with some reference to Germany
Due to the highest life expectancy at birth among OECD member countries, the Japanese elderly face the risk of long-term care (LTC) needs. Japan and Germany have implemented public long-term care insurances, and both countries hoped that improving care in the community would lower nursing home usage and spending. After reviewing the LTC recipient rate of the elderly in Japan and Germany from international perspectives, the LTC recipient rate and expenditure among the Japanese elderly were estimated for the period of 2020-2070, using the results of the projection of the elderly by dependency level obtained from the INAHSIM (Integrated Analytical Model for Household Simulation) 2018 simulation. Long-term care expenditure is quite closely related to ageing and it is important to reduce the LTC recipient rate through prevention and putting the right incentives in the system.
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