满月和13号星期五的救援行动

IF 1.4 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY
I. Greatbatch, R. Koester, A. Kleinsmith
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引用次数: 2

摘要

目的人们普遍认为,满月期和13日星期五对紧急服务的紧急呼叫次数有影响。本文的目的是批判性地探讨这种信念。它还审查了响应记录的多功能性和丰富性,并证明了组合数据集的有效性。设计/方法/方法这项工作从四个救援机构和国际搜救数据库中获取了四个不同的数据集,并比较了满月夜、非满月和满月期(满月夜、前一天和后一天)的平均呼叫次数。13日星期五的平均事故数量也被调查。它使用统计方法来测试“正常”日期和传统上认为更繁忙的日期之间的差异。发现尽管13日星期五、满月之夜、满月期和“正常”日之间存在差异,但总体而言,差异非常小,并不显著,在大多数情况下,在所谓的不吉利时期,差异实际上有所下降。例外的是,大多数数据集在满月期间的平均响应次数增加得很小,尽管这在统计上并不显著。本文的结论是,数据中没有证据表明满月对救援队的活动有任何影响。研究局限性/含义这项研究只涉及来自英国的一小部分回应,并解决了一个显然不是最紧迫的问题。然而,它确实证明了在实践中基于证据的管理,因为过去资源被错误地分配到了这些日期。实际含义这项工作表明,在应急服务中存在先入为主的观念,在没有证据主导的管理的情况下,资源可以根据道听途说进行分配。这表明,广泛可用的软件和技术可以应用于组织数据,并用于使管理决策更加合适。社会影响救援组织几乎完全是慈善机构或公共部门组织,这意味着他们的预算来自捐款或纳税人。消除对某些日期的资源的误解,最终将从这些方面造福社会。独创性/价值关于这一现象的研究很少,尽管已经进行了一些关于A&E部门招生的研究。这是迄今为止唯一一项以这种方式组合数据的工作。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Rescue responses during a full moon and Friday 13th
PurposeIt is a well held belief that the full moon period and the date Friday 13th has an impact on the number of emergency call outs for emergency services. The purpose of this paper is to critically explore that belief. It also examines the versatility and richness of response records, and demonstrates the effectiveness of combining data sets.Design/methodology/approachThe work takes four varied data sets, from four rescue agencies along with the International Search and Rescue Database and compared the average number of calls on a full moon night, non-full moon and full moon period (the full moon night, the day before and day after). The average number of incidents on Friday 13th was also investigated. It uses a statistical approach to test the difference between “normal” dates and those dates traditionally believed to be busier.FindingsAlthough there were differences between Friday 13th, full moon nights, full moon periods and “normal” days, the differences were in general extremely small, not significantly significant and in most cases actually dropped during the supposedly unlucky period. The exception to this is a very small increase in the average number of responses during full moons for most data sets, although this was not statistically significant. This paper concludes that there is no evidence in the data for any impact of the full moon upon rescue teams’ activities.Research limitations/implicationsThis research deals with a small set of responses, from the UK only, and addresses an issue that is clearly not the most pressing. However, it does demonstrate evidenced-based management in practice, in that resources have incorrectly been assigned in the past to these dates.Practical implicationsThis work shows that preconceptions exist within the emergency services and that, without evidence-led management, resources can be allocated on hearsay. This shows that widely available software and techniques can be applied to organisational data and used to make management decisions more appropriate.Social implicationsRescue organisations are almost exclusively charity or public sector organisations, meaning that their budgets are sourced from donations or the tax-payer. Putting to bed misconceptions over resources for certain dates will ultimately benefit society in those terms.Originality/valueThere has been very little work on this phenomenon, although some works on A&E department admissions have taken place. This is the only work to date to combine data in this way for this purpose.
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来源期刊
International Journal of Emergency Services
International Journal of Emergency Services SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY-
CiteScore
2.00
自引率
11.10%
发文量
29
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