石油炼制行业投资吸引力的相关与回归分析

Принято, Гайфуллина Марина Михайловна, M. Gayfullina, G. Nizamova
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文介绍了运用相关分析和回归分析方法对石油炼制工业投资吸引力进行分析的结果。建议用资本生产率来评价石油炼制行业的投资吸引力水平。在资源和生产、金融、经济和社会群体等因素的背景下,形成了影响石油炼制投资吸引力的指标体系。本文提出了影响投资吸引力的相关回归分析方法。方法包括:建立对相关关系,选取因素,利用Microsoft Excel“数据分析”软件包中的“相关”工具构造广义相关矩阵,根据最终选取的因素进行回归分析,构建回归方程,利用MS Excel“数据分析”软件包中的“回归”工具对得到的相关性进行论证。根据俄罗斯联邦2012 -2019年动态经济活动类型“焦炭和石油产品生产”的计算结果,产出资本比与炼油深度、销售利润和劳动生产率等因素之间存在很强的相关性。研究结果可用于识别影响石油炼制行业投资吸引力的重要因素,并对其进行进一步优化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Correlation and regression analysis of the investment attractiveness of the petroleum refining industry
The article presents the results of the analysis of the investment attractiveness of the petroleum refining industry using correlation and regression methods. It has been suggested to evaluate the level of investment attractiveness of the petroleum refining industry through capital productivity. A system of indicators affecting the investment attractiveness of the petroleum refining has been formed in the context of resource and production, financial, economic and social groups of factors. This methodology of correlation and regression analysis for modeling factors affecting investment attractiveness has been presented. The methodology includes the construction of a pair correlation, the selection of factors, the construction of a generalised correlation matrix using the “Correlation” tool in the “Data Analysis” package Microsoft Excel, the regression analysis based on the finally selected factors, the construction of the regression equation, the justification of the obtained dependence using the “Regression” tool in the “Data Analysis” package MS Excel.According to the results of calculations for the type of economic activity “Production of coke and petroleum products” in the Russian Federation in dynamics for 2012 –2019, a strong correlation has been revealed between the output-capital ratio and such factors as the oil refining depth, profit from sales and labor productivity.The results of the study can be used to identify significant factors affecting the investment attractiveness of the petroleum refining industry in order to further optimise them.
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