坚定的支持还是秘密的反对?在俄罗斯对乌克兰的战争中，关于偏好伪造的列表实验

IF 2 3区社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE

Research and Politics Pub Date : 2022-04-01 DOI:10.1177/20531680221108328

P. Chapkovski, Max Schaub

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引用次数: 11

摘要

当被要求支持正在进行的战争时，个人是否会透露他们的真实偏好？本研究报告介绍了俄罗斯入侵乌克兰期间实施的一项清单实验的结果。我们的实验使我们能够通过将实验结果与直接问题进行比较来估计在支持战争方面的偏好伪造程度。我们的数据来自3000名俄罗斯人的在线样本。结果显示，人们对战争的支持率很高，偏好造假的程度也很高：当被直接问及时，71%的受访者支持战争，而使用列表实验时，这一比例降至61%。偏好造假在使用电视作为主要新闻来源的个人中尤为明显。我们的结果表明，战争领导人可以在不担心民众强烈反对的情况下追求和平，但也表明，即使战争的残酷性变得明显，对战争的高度支持也可以持续下去。

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Solid support or secret dissent? A list experiment on preference falsification during the Russian war against Ukraine

Do individuals reveal their true preferences when asked for their support for an ongoing war? This research note presents the results of a list experiment implemented in the midst of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Our experiment allows us to estimate the extent of preference falsification with regard to support for the war by comparing the experimental results with a direct question. Our data comes from an online sample of 3000 Russians. Results show high levels of support for the war and significant levels of preference falsification: when asked directly, 71% of respondents support the war, while this share drops to 61% when using the list experiment. Preference falsification is particularly pronounced among individuals using TV as a main source of news. Our results imply that war leaders can pursue peace without fearing a large popular backlash, but also show that high levels of support for war can be sustained even once the brutality of the war has become clear.

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来源期刊

Research and Politics Social Sciences-Political Science and International Relations

CiteScore

2.80

自引率

3.70%

发文量

审稿时长

12 weeks

期刊介绍： Research & Politics aims to advance systematic peer-reviewed research in political science and related fields through the open access publication of the very best cutting-edge research and policy analysis. The journal provides a venue for scholars to communicate rapidly and succinctly important new insights to the broadest possible audience while maintaining the highest standards of quality control.