模拟封锁和隔离对根除新冠肺炎的影响

Q2 Agricultural and Biological Sciences
J. Ndam
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引用次数: 5

摘要

建立并检验了一个描述COVID-19动态的模型。该模型旨在解决作为根除大流行战略的封锁和社会隔离的影响。局部稳定性分析表明,无病平衡和地方病平衡对R01分别是局部渐近稳定的。模型方程的数值模拟表明,在消除疾病方面,封锁是比社会隔离更有效的策略。然而,严格执行这两项战略是可以在较短时间内结束这一疾病的最有效手段。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Modelling the impacts of lockdown and isolation on the eradication of COVID-19
A model describing the dynamics of COVID-19 is formulated and examined. The model is meant to address the impacts of lockdown and social isolation as strategies for the eradication of the pandemic. Local stability analysis indicate that the equilibria are locally-asymptotically stable for R0<1 and R_0>1 for the disease-free equilibrium and the endemic equilibrium respectively. Numerical simulations of the model equations show that lockdown is a more effective strategy in the eradication of the disease than social isolation. However, strict enforcement of both strategies is the most effective means that could end the disease within a shorter period of time.
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来源期刊
Biomath
Biomath Agricultural and Biological Sciences-Agricultural and Biological Sciences (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
2.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
6
审稿时长
20 weeks
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