研究说明:明确的选民欺诈阴谋线索增加了共同党派的信心,但对选举信心有更广泛的溢出效应

Benjamin A. Lyons, Kaitlyn S. Workman
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在这个预先注册的实验中,我们在2020年美国大选的背景下测试了阴谋线索内容的影响。具体来说,我们改变了受访者是否看到了明确陈述的阴谋论,仅仅是暗示的阴谋论,或者根本没有。我们发现,关于操纵投票机的明确线索增加了人们对这类理论的信任,尤其是当这些线索针对的是对立政党时。明确的暗示也会降低对选举的信心,而不管针对的是哪个政党,但它们对民主的满意度或对选举安全资金的支持没有影响。因此,阴谋线索会降低人们对机构的信心,即使在局外人中也是如此,而且与阴谋信念的改变无关。结果表明,即使在充斥着欺诈指控的情况下,选民仍然会对新的明确线索做出反应。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Research note: Explicit voter fraud conspiracy cues increase belief among co-partisans but have broader spillover effects on confidence in elections
In this pre-registered experiment, we test the effects of conspiracy cue content in the context of the 2020 U.S. elections. Specifically, we varied whether respondents saw an explicitly stated conspiracy theory, one that was merely implied, or none at all. We found that explicit cues about rigged voting machines increase belief in such theories, especially when the cues target the opposing political party. Explicit cues also decrease confidence in elections regardless of the targeted party, but they have no effect on satisfaction with democracy or support for election security funding. Thus, conspiratorial cues can decrease confidence in institutions, even among the out-party and irrespective of a change in conspiracy beliefs. The results demonstrate that even in a landscape saturated in claims of fraud, voters still respond to novel explicit cues.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
20.70
自引率
0.00%
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