利用来自德国全国调查的面板数据解释威胁评估、应对评估和洪水风险降低行为的变化

IF 5.2 2区 心理学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES
P. Bubeck, Daniel Osberghaus, A. Thieken
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引用次数: 0

摘要

保护动机理论(PMT)已成为一个广泛使用的理论框架来解释个人对洪水和其他自然灾害的风险降低行为。尽管在洪水背景下应用PMT的文献迅速增长,但由于主要使用横断面研究设计,对PMT成分变化和降低风险行为的见解在很大程度上缺乏。在这项研究中,我们使用来自德国的一项调查的独特面板数据(n = 2680)和固定效应回归建模方法,研究了各种个人信息来源与PMT成分变化和降低风险行为的关系。与PMT一致,我们发现各种个人信息来源,如以前的经验,与PMT成分的变化有关。我们还发现,随着时间的推移,PMT的应对评估朝着与降低风险行为负相关的方向变化,这对风险沟通和向综合洪水风险管理的设想转变提出了挑战。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Explaining Changes in Threat Appraisal, Coping Appraisal, and Flood Risk-Reducing Behavior Using Panel Data From a Nation-Wide Survey in Germany
Protection Motivation Theory (PMT) has become a widely-used theoretical framework to explain the risk-reducing behavior of individuals toward flooding and other natural hazards. Despite a quickly growing body of literature applying PMT in the context of flooding, insights into changes in PMT components and risk-reducing behavior are largely lacking due to a predominant use of cross-sectional research designs. In this study, we examine how various intrapersonal sources of information relate to changes in PMT components and risk-reducing behavior, using unique panel data (n = 2,680) from a survey in Germany and a fixed-effects regression modeling approach. In line with PMT, we find that various intrapersonal sources of information, like prior experience, relate to changes in PMT components. We also find that coping appraisals of PMT change in a direction negatively related to risk-reducing behavior over time, posing a challenge for risk communication and the envisaged shift to integrated flood risk management.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
13.30
自引率
1.80%
发文量
13
期刊介绍: Environment & Behavior is an interdisciplinary journal designed to report rigorous experimental and theoretical work focusing on the influence of the physical environment on human behavior at the individual, group, and institutional levels.
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