尼日利亚-乍得贸易与安全关系评价,1988-2009

IF 0.4 Q4 MANAGEMENT
K. Ani
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引用次数: 0

摘要

当今世界是这样的,国家之间不能没有彼此。这是因为一些国家是由历史、文化、社会、经济、科学和其他形式的战略利益联系在一起的。多年来,尼日利亚和乍得在殖民统治者到来之前就有国家间关系的历史。然而,在殖民统治结束时,两国开展了多维形式的双边关系。本研究采用混合研究方法,重点研究尼日利亚与乍得的经济关系。它揭示了两国之间贸易协定的形式。该研究强调了两国之间贸易的正式和非正式性质,并发现两国的外交关系史促进了两国的国家利益以及战略重叠贸易需求的管理。本研究采用回归分析,运用单位根、协整、chow检验、稳定性检验以及philips - perron (PP)和Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF)等方法,发现尼日利亚-乍得贸易与经济外交在1970-2018年期间存在强正显著关系,在博科哈拉姆威胁存在的情况下,尼日利亚与乍得的贸易和安全关系保持了合理的稳定。该研究建议增加双边贸易、边境安全以及两国关系安全威胁动态的情报共享。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An evaluation of Nigeria-Chad trade and security relations, 1988-2009
The contemporary world is such that nations cannot do without one another. This is because some nations are connected by historical, cultural, social, economic, scientific and other forms of strategic interests. Nigeria and Chad over the years have a history of inter-state relations that pre-dates the coming of colonial masters. However, at the end of colonial rule, both states engaged in multi-dimensional forms of bilateral relations. This study, which adopts mixed method of research focuses on Nigeria-Chad economic relations. It reveals the forms of trade agreement between both states. The study highlights formal and informal nature of the trade amongst the two states and found that their history of diplomatic relations has promoted the national interest as well as the management of strategic over-lapping trade demands in both countries. This study used regression analysis and applied unit root, co-integration, chow test, stability test as well as Phillips-Perron (PP) and Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) to find-out that there is strong positive significant relationship between Nigeria-Chad trade and economic diplomacy within the period of 1970-2018 as well as reasonable stability in Nigerian trade and security relations with Chad in the presence of Boko Haram menace. The study recommends increased bilateral trade, border security as well as intelligence sharing on the dynamics of security threats to the relations of both states.
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