用数字说服:统计的隐藏修辞

Sıdıka Başçı, Nadia Hassan
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引用次数: 2

摘要

当前知识的哲学将事实与价值区分开来。它认为事实是客观的,无可争辩的,普遍可验证的,不需要说服。由于修辞是说服,它被认为是欺骗性的,忽视现实。因此,目前形式的统计忽略修辞,只强调数字。它忽略了涉及主观性和价值判断的数字的意义和解释。在现实世界中,数字与价值纠缠在一起,无法避免主观性。因此,它的使用带有一种客观的表象。我们说明了明显的客观统计数据是如何隐藏主观选择的。大多数现实世界的经验不能简化为数字,但科学的方法迫使我们衡量一切。在衡量诸如信任、智力、财富等不可衡量的事物时,主观选择是不可避免的。没有客观的方法将多种措施简化为一种措施。在经济学领域,价值甚至涉及到GDP等看似无可争议的数字。因子、权重及其符号的选择承载着价值。在没有意识的情况下对这些措施进行比较会对政策制定产生有害影响。此外,了解隐藏的价值以避免欺骗也是可取的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Using Numbers to Persuade: Hidden Rhetoric of Statistics
Philosophy of current knowledge distinguishes facts from values. It maintains that facts are objective, indisputable, universally verifiable and do not require to persuade. Since rhetoric is persuasion it is assumed to be deceptive and overlook reality. Therefore, statistics in its current form disregards rhetoric and emphasizes only numbers. It ignores meanings and interpretation of numbers that involve subjectivity and value judgements. In real world, numbers and values are entangled in a way that it becomes impossible to avoid subjectivity. So, it is used with an appearance of objectivity. We illustrate how apparently objective statistics conceal subjective choices. Most of real-world experiences cannot be reduced to numbers, but scientific approach compels us to measure everything. In the attempt to measure the unmeasurables like trust, intelligence and wealth etc.it is inevitable make subjective choices. There is no objective way to reduce multiple measures into one. In the field of economics values are involved even in seemingly indisputable numbers like GDP. It is value laden for the choice of factors, weights and their signs. Making comparisons on such measures without awareness have harmful implications for policy development. Moreover, it is also desirable to understand hidden values to avoid deception.
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