{"title":"基于Holt-Winter滤波和残差分析的短期保险赔付预测","authors":"Moustafa Salem, Mohamed G. Khalil","doi":"10.18187/pjsor.v19i1.4215","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Time series are essential for anticipating various claims payment applications. For insurance firms to prevent significant losses brought on by potential future claims, the future values of predicted claims are crucial. Additionally, the ideal parameter is chosen artificially. By using a genuine application, the proposed model’s utility is demonstrated. Additionally, the ideal parameter is chosen artificially. By using a genuine application, the proposed model's utility is demonstrated. Also, the single exponential smoothing model is used for prediction under the Holt-Winters’ additive algorithm.","PeriodicalId":19973,"journal":{"name":"Pakistan Journal of Statistics and Operation Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.1000,"publicationDate":"2023-03-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"4","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Short-Term Insurance Claims Payments Forecasting with Holt-Winter Filtering and Residual Analysis\",\"authors\":\"Moustafa Salem, Mohamed G. Khalil\",\"doi\":\"10.18187/pjsor.v19i1.4215\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Time series are essential for anticipating various claims payment applications. For insurance firms to prevent significant losses brought on by potential future claims, the future values of predicted claims are crucial. Additionally, the ideal parameter is chosen artificially. By using a genuine application, the proposed model’s utility is demonstrated. Additionally, the ideal parameter is chosen artificially. By using a genuine application, the proposed model's utility is demonstrated. Also, the single exponential smoothing model is used for prediction under the Holt-Winters’ additive algorithm.\",\"PeriodicalId\":19973,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Pakistan Journal of Statistics and Operation Research\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-03-06\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"4\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Pakistan Journal of Statistics and Operation Research\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.18187/pjsor.v19i1.4215\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Pakistan Journal of Statistics and Operation Research","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.18187/pjsor.v19i1.4215","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Short-Term Insurance Claims Payments Forecasting with Holt-Winter Filtering and Residual Analysis
Time series are essential for anticipating various claims payment applications. For insurance firms to prevent significant losses brought on by potential future claims, the future values of predicted claims are crucial. Additionally, the ideal parameter is chosen artificially. By using a genuine application, the proposed model’s utility is demonstrated. Additionally, the ideal parameter is chosen artificially. By using a genuine application, the proposed model's utility is demonstrated. Also, the single exponential smoothing model is used for prediction under the Holt-Winters’ additive algorithm.
期刊介绍:
Pakistan Journal of Statistics and Operation Research. PJSOR is a peer-reviewed journal, published four times a year. PJSOR publishes refereed research articles and studies that describe the latest research and developments in the area of statistics, operation research and actuarial statistics.