新冠肺炎疫情对立陶宛老年工人的初步影响

Kristina Zitikytė
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引用次数: 0

摘要

始于2020年的新冠肺炎疫情给劳动力市场参与者带来了新的挑战。本文讨论了新冠肺炎大流行,强调了老年人在未来更长时间留在劳动力市场可能面临的关键挑战,特别是如果这种大流行持续下去的话。二元反应模型用于确定决定新冠肺炎大流行对立陶宛55-64岁人群在大流行期间就业的影响的推拉因素。由于新冠肺炎大流行仍在继续,大多数研究人员倾向于进行统计分析,将就业率与2009年经济危机的就业率进行比较,以确定大流行对就业的潜在影响,或仅从理论上讨论大流行对老年人的潜在影响。本文利用国家社会保险基金的独特行政微观数据,模拟了疫情对立陶宛老年人就业的影响。这使我们能够就疫情如何影响立陶宛55-64岁的工人得出更深入的结论。研究结果表明,老年人的就业没有受到新冠肺炎大流行的不成比例的影响,如果这种大流行在未来发生,从老年人的角度来看,可能会带来限制和机会。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Initial Impact of The Covid-19 Pandemic on Older Workers in Lithuania
 The Covid-19 pandemic that began in 2020 presented a new challenge for the labor market participants. This paper discusses the Covid-19 pandemic, highlighting the key challenges that older people can face trying to stay in the labor market for longer in the future, especially if such pandemics continue. Binary response models are used to identify the push-and-pull factors determining the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the employment of people aged 55–64 during the pandemic in Lithuania. As the Covid-19 pandemic still continues, most of researchers prefer statistical analysis, comparing employment rates with those of the 2009 economic crisis, to determine the potential impact of the pandemic on employment or by only theoretically discussing the potential impact of the pandemic on the elderly. This paper models the impact of the pandemic on the employment of older people in Lithuania using unique administrative micro-data of State social insurance fund (SSIF). This allows to draw deeper conclusions about how the pandemic affects workers aged 55–64 in Lithuania. The results show that the employment of older people has not been disproportionately impacted by the Covid-19 pandemic, and if such pandemics occur in the future, they may present both limitations and opportunities from the point of view of older people.
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来源期刊
Ekonomika Vilniaus Universitetas
Ekonomika Vilniaus Universitetas Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (all)
CiteScore
1.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
15
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