原油市场的系统回顾:从油价出发

IF 5.5 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Yuhang Zheng, Ziqing Du
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引用次数: 6

摘要

原油在经济活动中发挥着重要作用,具有商品属性和金融特征。通过全面回顾有关原油价格的文献,出现了以下现象。首先,原油价格的预测和风险管理仍然是研究人员进行研究的重要课题,但经济活动的不确定性加剧了原油价格的波动。第二,供应端和需求端的因素是原油价格波动的主要驱动因素,投资者情绪逐渐成为影响原油价格预期水平的重要因素。第三,经济活动和金融稳定受到原油价格冲击的影响,同时,许多研究证实了这种非对称效应。然而,由于外部环境的变化,表现出更复杂的非线性时变特征。此外,文本挖掘技术和人工智能技术的出现为预测原油价格趋势和进行原油市场风险测量提供了新的有效方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A systematic review in crude oil markets: Embarking on the oil price
Crude oil plays an important role in economic activities, with both commodity attributes and financial characteristics. Through comprehensive review of the literature on crude oil prices, the following phenomena are presented. First, the forecasts and risk management of crude oil prices are still important topics when researchers conduct studies, however, the uncertainty of economic activity has aggravated the fluctuation of crude oil prices. Second, factors from supply side and demand side are main drivers of movements of crude oil prices, and investor sentiment gradually becomes an important factor affecting the expected level of crude oil prices. Third, economic activities and financial stability are influenced by shocks of crude oil prices, meanwhile, many studies confirm the asymmetric effects. However, due to changes in the external environment, more complex nonlinear time-varying features are exhibited. In addition, the advent of text mining technology and artificial intelligence technology provides new and effective methods for forecasting the trend of crude oil prices and conducting risk measurement in crude oil market.
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来源期刊
Green Finance
Green Finance Multiple-
CiteScore
9.60
自引率
3.50%
发文量
14
审稿时长
6 weeks
期刊介绍: Green Finance is an international, interdisciplinary Open Access journal dedicated to green finance, environmental, and sustainability research and practice. It offers a platform for publishing original contributions and technical reviews on green finance and related topics, following a rigorous peer-review process. Accepted article types include original research, reviews, editorials, letters, and conference reports.
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