全要素生产率的驱动因素

T. Kvasha
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引用次数: 3

摘要

全要素生产率(TFP)现在被广泛认为是长期经济增长和短期增长波动的一个重要因素。国际货币基金组织的研究人员得出结论,TFP的增长是提高生活水平的最重要的长期因素。因此,国际货币基金组织和各国学者一直在仔细研究TFP放缓的原因,并调查其潜在因素。乌克兰国内生产总值的低增长率要求找到驱动因素,其中之一就是全要素生产率的增长。它提出了分析促进乌克兰这种增长的因素的重要性。这项工作的目的是确定TFP驱动因素,这对乌克兰来说是最有效的。分析了国外TFP驱动因素,利用索洛模型计算了乌克兰的TFP动态,确定了2000-2017年的TFP驱动因素。对全球范围内有关全要素生产率驱动因素的出版物的分析表明,这些驱动因素包括:知识和技术的国际转移、小型创新型快速增长企业的活动、教育质量的提高、研发和创新支出的增加(尤其是商业部门)、无形资产投资的增加、专利活动的加剧、企业获得贷款的机会。根据索洛模型计算的乌克兰全要素生产率动态,其特点是到2012年实现高速增长,2013-2015年急剧下降,2016-2017年回归增长轨道,但与全球一样,增速非常缓慢。促成这种回报的因素是无形资产的资本投资,乌克兰研究人员的专利活动增加,高科技部门的创新加强。制约全要素生产率和创新对经济增长的贡献的因素是,以“专有技术、技术获取(转让)协议”形式进行的技术转让占很大比例,这阻碍了尖端技术的广泛引进,以及研发和创新资金的减少。进一步的研究应集中于寻求促进执行结构改革的政治决定,以解决现有问题并消除其后果,特别是在创新和教育领域。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Drivers of the Total Factor Productivity
The Total Factor Productivity (TFP) is now widely recognized as an important factor in both long-term economic growth and short-term growth fluctuations. Researchers of the International Monetary Fund came to the conclusion that the growth of the TFP was the most important long-term factor in raising the living standards. Therefore, the IMF and academics from different countries has been scrutinizing the reasons for the slowdown in TFP and investigating the underlying factors. The low rates of GDP grow in Ukraine call for finding the drivers, one of which is TFP growth. It raises the importance of analysis of the factors promoting this growth in Ukraine.  The purpose of this work is to define TFP drivers, which would be most effective for Ukraine. TFP drivers in foreign countries are analyzed, TFP dynamics for Ukraine is calculated by use of Solow model, and TFP drivers over 2000–2017 are determined.         The analysis of publications about TFP drivers at global level shows that they include: international transfer of knowledge and technologies, activities of small innovative fast-growing firms, the enhanced quality of quality of education, the increased expenditures on R&D and innovations, especially by business sector, the increased investments in intangible assets, the intensified patent activity, access of enterprises to lending. The TFP dynamics in Ukraine, calculated by the Solow model, is characterized by high growth rates by 2012, a sharp fall in 2013-2015, and a return to the growth path in 2016-2017, but, as in the whole world, by very moderate pace. The factors contributing to this return are capital investment in intangible assets, the increasing patent activity of Ukrainian researchers, the intensified innovation in the high-tech sector. Factors constraining the TFP and the contribution of innovation to economic growth are a significant proportion of technology transfer in the form of “know-how, agreements for the acquisition (transfer) of technologies”, which holds back the widespread introduction of cutting-edge technologies, and the reduction of funding for R&D and innovation. Further studies should be focused on searching for political decisions promoting implementation of structural reforms aimed to solve the existing problems and eliminate their consequences, especially in of the innovation and education field.
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