俄罗斯陷入困境的道路:普京的僵局

Sait Yilmaz, M. Ertürk
{"title":"俄罗斯陷入困境的道路:普京的僵局","authors":"Sait Yilmaz, M. Ertürk","doi":"10.17265/2328-2134/2020.09.001","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"After the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia, which is sustaining a new recovery process with Putin, is at the crossroads of a new turning point. Putin, the face of the country‟s deep state, may hold the presidency for another two terms, in line with new constitutional changes. The new constitution predicts handing over some of the presidential authority to the Russian Parliament, the Duma. These changes in the constitution involve new alignments in the Russian decision-making system rather than promoting internal democracy. On the other hand, the conventional energy resources of Russia, representing the predominant part of the national income, are in a decreasing trend. The explored energy reserves are either too expensive for extraction or too far from the center of the country. Russia inevitably has to develop additional sources for export other than energy to balance her budget. With COVID-19, the vulnerability of the Russian state system and revenues came into the open. In the coming decades, Russia needs to make critical decisions to sustain her ambition to be a major power. Putin, being aware of this, is planning a transition period, behind which he will personally stand during the changeover.","PeriodicalId":70059,"journal":{"name":"国际关系与外交:英文版","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2020-09-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The Troubled Road in Russia: Putin’s Impasse\",\"authors\":\"Sait Yilmaz, M. Ertürk\",\"doi\":\"10.17265/2328-2134/2020.09.001\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"After the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia, which is sustaining a new recovery process with Putin, is at the crossroads of a new turning point. Putin, the face of the country‟s deep state, may hold the presidency for another two terms, in line with new constitutional changes. The new constitution predicts handing over some of the presidential authority to the Russian Parliament, the Duma. These changes in the constitution involve new alignments in the Russian decision-making system rather than promoting internal democracy. On the other hand, the conventional energy resources of Russia, representing the predominant part of the national income, are in a decreasing trend. The explored energy reserves are either too expensive for extraction or too far from the center of the country. Russia inevitably has to develop additional sources for export other than energy to balance her budget. With COVID-19, the vulnerability of the Russian state system and revenues came into the open. In the coming decades, Russia needs to make critical decisions to sustain her ambition to be a major power. Putin, being aware of this, is planning a transition period, behind which he will personally stand during the changeover.\",\"PeriodicalId\":70059,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"国际关系与外交:英文版\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-09-28\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"国际关系与外交:英文版\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"90\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.17265/2328-2134/2020.09.001\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"国际关系与外交:英文版","FirstCategoryId":"90","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.17265/2328-2134/2020.09.001","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

苏联解体后,在普京的领导下,俄罗斯正处于新的复苏进程的十字路口。普京,这个国家深层势力的代言人,可能会继续担任两届总统,以符合新的宪法改革。新宪法预计将部分总统权力移交给俄罗斯议会杜马。宪法的这些变化涉及俄罗斯决策系统的新结盟,而不是促进内部民主。另一方面,俄罗斯占国民收入主要部分的常规能源资源呈减少趋势。已探明的能源储备要么开采成本太高,要么离国家中心太远。为了平衡预算,俄罗斯不可避免地必须开发能源以外的其他出口资源。随着COVID-19的爆发,俄罗斯国家系统和收入的脆弱性暴露无遗。在未来几十年里,俄罗斯需要做出关键决定,以维持其成为大国的雄心。普京意识到这一点,正在计划一个过渡期,他将亲自站在过渡期的后面。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Troubled Road in Russia: Putin’s Impasse
After the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia, which is sustaining a new recovery process with Putin, is at the crossroads of a new turning point. Putin, the face of the country‟s deep state, may hold the presidency for another two terms, in line with new constitutional changes. The new constitution predicts handing over some of the presidential authority to the Russian Parliament, the Duma. These changes in the constitution involve new alignments in the Russian decision-making system rather than promoting internal democracy. On the other hand, the conventional energy resources of Russia, representing the predominant part of the national income, are in a decreasing trend. The explored energy reserves are either too expensive for extraction or too far from the center of the country. Russia inevitably has to develop additional sources for export other than energy to balance her budget. With COVID-19, the vulnerability of the Russian state system and revenues came into the open. In the coming decades, Russia needs to make critical decisions to sustain her ambition to be a major power. Putin, being aware of this, is planning a transition period, behind which he will personally stand during the changeover.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
411
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信