欧洲抵押贷款市场的动态与特征

IF 0.6 Q4 ECONOMICS
V. Riashchenko, Wladimir Gottmann, Petro Mandzyk
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引用次数: 0

摘要

住房市场是任何国家经济的重要组成部分。本文分析了欧洲抵押贷款市场发展的主要趋势:总体动态、各个细分市场的发展、贷款量、利率、建筑量、资源价格等。本文的目的是分析当前住房市场发展的趋势。图形和统计分析方法用于可视化2020-2022年欧洲住宅建设投资的趋势,确定市场下跌背后的主要外部和内部因素,并概述未来几年的发展前景。实际意义。实际意义。住房投资市场受到新的外部不稳定因素(疫情、军事侵略)的影响,以及经济危机、广泛数字化、打击黑市等因素的压力。分析结果确定了目前影响欧洲房地产市场的主要因素:入侵乌克兰的后果、能源价格大幅上涨、通货膨胀和利率上升、经济活动放缓以及全球、区域和国家层面的政治不确定性。总体而言,住房投资市场的发展趋势如下:抵押贷款利率高;收紧融资条件和银行标准,减少抵押贷款的可用性;经济增长放缓和快速通货膨胀;能源和建筑材料价格上涨,建筑成本上涨,从而导致房价上涨;银行对购房家庭的贷款放缓。价值/独创性。现代经济科学和实践的一项紧迫任务是寻找吸引额外财政资源的方法、减轻投资者支付财务负担的机制、减少和分配投资风险。正是这些情况决定了与数字贷款和众筹等创新投资形式相关的住房投资细分市场的增长。根据预测,到2026年,全球数字贷款市场将以每年12%的速度增长。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
MORTGAGE LENDING MARKET IN EUROPE: DYNAMICS AND FEATURES
The housing market is an important part of any country's economy. The article analyses the main trends in the development of the mortgage lending market in Europe: general dynamics, development of individual segments, lending volumes, interest rates, construction volumes, resource prices, etc. The purpose of this article is to analyse current trends in the development of the housing market. Graphical and statistical analysis methods are used to visualise the trends in investment in residential construction in Europe in 2020-2022, to identify the main external and internal factors behind the market's decline, and to outline development prospects for the coming years. practical implications. Practical implications. The housing investment market is under the influence of new external destabilising factors (pandemic, military aggression), as well as the pressure of factors such as the economic crisis, widespread digitalisation, the fight against black markets, etc. The results of the analysis have identified the main factors currently affecting the European property market: the aftermath of the invasion of Ukraine, a sharp rise in energy prices, rising inflation and interest rates, a slowdown in economic activity and political uncertainty at global, regional and national level. In general, the development of the housing investment market is characterised by the following trends: high interest rates on mortgage loans; tightening of financing conditions and bank standards, reducing the availability of mortgage loans; slowdown in economic growth and rapid inflation; higher prices for energy and building materials, construction costs and, as a result, an increase in house prices; slowdown in bank lending to households buying houses. Value/originality. An urgent task of modern economic science and practice is the search for ways to attract additional financial resources, mechanisms to ease the financial burden of payments for investors, to reduce and distribute investment risks. It is these circumstances that have determined the growth of the housing investment market segment associated with such innovative forms of investment as digital lending and crowdfunding. According to forecasts, the global digital lending market will grow by up to 12% per year until 2026.
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