多边输入病例对中国疫情防控的影响

J. Jia, Siyu Liu, Jing Ding, G. Liao, Lihua Zhang, Ran Zhang
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引用次数: 3

摘要

目前,新冠肺炎疫情已得到控制。然而,这一流行病正在世界各地迅速发展。由于人口的正常迁移,中国面临着输入性病例的高风险。潜在的特效药和疫苗仍在临床试验过程中。目前,控制输入病例的影响是防止新冠肺炎在中国新冠肺炎疫情暴发的关键。在本文中,我们提出了两个脉冲系统来描述新冠肺炎多边输入病例的影响。基于已发表的数据,我们模拟并讨论了不同控制策略下的疫情趋势。我们比较了四种不同的情况,并显示了相应的医疗负担。研究结果有助于在实践中为输入性病例设计适当的控制策略。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Impact of Multilateral Imported Cases of COVID-19 on the Epidemic Control in China
Nowadays, the epidemic of COVID-19 in China is under control. However, the epidemic are developing rapidly around the world. Due to the normal migration of population, China is facing high risk from imported cases. The potential specific medicine and vaccine is still in the process of clinical trials. Currently, controlling the impact of imported cases is the key to prevent new outbreak of COVID-19 in China. In this paper, we propose two impulsive systems to describe the impact of multilateral imported cases of COVID-19. Based on the published data, we simulate and discussed the epidemic trends under different control strategies. We compare four different scenarios and show the corresponding medical burden. The results help to design appropriate control strategy for imported cases in practice.
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