农村向城市移民汇款的动机和决定因素:来自埃塞俄比亚南部的证据

F. Eshetu, M. Beshir
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摘要

摘要本研究以埃塞俄比亚南部665名城乡移民为样本,通过Tobit回归检验了城市移民向农村家庭汇款水平的决定因素。描述性结果显示,大多数城乡移民未婚、受教育程度较高且年轻。例如,84%的农民工未婚,而68%的农民工年龄在15至25岁之间。74%的农村-城市流动人口的受教育程度在5至10年之间。女性移民的平均收入、储蓄和汇款低于男性移民。Tobit模型的回归结果表明,移民的年龄、性别、教育程度、访问频率、收入和储蓄与移民汇款水平呈正相关。但农民工家庭规模和返乡意愿与汇款水平呈负相关,且显著相关。在原籍地区提供更好的教育和在接收地区提供报酬更高的工作将导致移民汇款的增加。在原籍地区提供非农就业将减少当前的农村向城市移民潮,这将减轻接受城市地区公共服务的压力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Motives and determinants of remittance from rural-urban migration: evidence from Southern Ethiopia
ABSTRACT This study examined the determinants of the level of remittance from urban migrants to their families in rural areas using a sample of 665 rural-urban migrants and Tobit regression in Southern Ethiopia.Descriptive results revealed that most of rural-urban migrants were unmarried, better educated, and young. For instance, 84 percent of rural-urban migrants were unmarried, while 68 percent of rural-urban migrants aged between 15 and 25 years.The education level of 74 percent of rural-urban migrants was found between 5 and 10 years of schooling.The mean income, saving, and remittance of female migrants were lower than their male counterparts. Regression results of Tobit model indicated that age, gender, education level, frequency of visits, income, and saving of migrants positively and significantly related with the level of remittance from migrants. But family size of migrant-sending household and the intension to return back negatively and significantly related with the level of remittance. Provision of better education in origin areas and better-paying jobs in receiving areas would lead to higher remittance from migrants. The provision of off-farm employments in origin areas would reduce the current wave of rural-urban migration and this will lessen pressure on public services in receiving urban areas.
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