合并感染HIV病例中不完善疫苗对结核病传播的稳定性和最优控制

L. N. Nkamba, Thomas Timothee Manga, N. Sakamoto
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文主要研究了基于常微分方程系统的非线性数学流行病模型(SSvihVELI),该模型模拟了结核病与HIV/AIDS合并感染的传播。讨论了无病平衡和地方性平衡的存在性。繁殖数R0已确定。利用Lyapunov-Lasalle方法,围绕无病平衡点和地方病平衡点分析了流行病系统的稳定性。证明了当Rvac < 1时无病平衡点的全局渐近稳定性,其中R0为繁殖数。我们还证明了当R0小于1时,结核病可以被根除。数值模拟验证了分析结果。为了实现对疾病的控制,寻求通过最低限度的疫苗覆盖率来减少感染群体,制定了一个控制问题。用庞特里亚金极大值原理来描述最优控制。利用龙格-库塔第四过程,导出了最优系统,并对其进行了数值求解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Stability and Optimal Control of Tuberculosis Spread with an Imperfect Vaccine in the Case of Co-Infection with HIV
This paper focuses on the study and control of a non-linear mathematical epidemic model ( SSvihVELI ) based on a system of ordinary differential equation modeling the spread of tuberculosis infectious with HIV/AIDS coinfection. Existence of both disease free equilibrium and endemic equilibrium is discussed. Reproduction number R0 is determined. Using Lyapunov-Lasalle methods, we analyze the stability of epidemic system around the equilibriums (disease free and endemic equilibrium). The global asymptotic stability of the disease free equilibrium whenever Rvac < 1 is proved, where R0 is the reproduction number. We prove also that when R0 is less than one, tuberculosis can be eradicated. Numerical simulations are conducted to approve analytic results. To achieve control of the disease, seeking to reduce the infectious group by the minimum vaccine coverage, a control problem is formulated. The Pontryagin’s maximum principle is used to characterize the optimal control. The optimality system is derived and solved numerically using the Runge Kutta fourth procedure.
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