深入探究货币政策溢出效应的以邻为壑效应

IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS
Emil Adámek, Lukáš Jursa
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们分析了2000年至2020年间欧洲央行(ECB)货币冲击溢出的影响及其对欧盟9个欧元区以外国家的影响。我们使用符号限制贝叶斯VAR模型,并通过绘制脉冲响应函数进行后续解释。此外,我们还研究了常规和非常规货币政策及其国际传导。随着经济体的开放和一体化的不断深化,货币政策的溢出效应越来越大。产出对EA货币冲击的反应灵活而持久,但各国之间存在相当大的异质性。我们声称,EA之外的央行必须监测欧洲央行的货币政策溢出并将其纳入决策过程。特别是非常规货币政策的国际传导对价格水平的发展具有根本性影响,从而实现价格稳定。在实施反周期政策的情况下,也有必要监测常规政策。然而,没有必要对抗溢出效应,因为不存在以邻为壑的问题,即溢出效应在国内外都朝着同一方向发展。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Deep dive into beggar-thy-neighbour effects of monetary policy spillovers
We analyse the effect of the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary shock spillover and its impact on the European Union's 9 countries outside the euro area (EA) between 2000 and 2020. We use the sign-restricted Bayesian VAR model and subsequent interpretation by plotting the impulse-response functions. Moreover, we investigate both conventional and unconventional monetary policies and its international transmission. The spillover of monetary policy is growing with the openness of economies and the ongoing deepening of integration. The output responds to the EA's monetary shock flexibly and persistently, but there is considerable heterogeneity across countries. We claim that it is essential for central banks outside the EA to monitor and incorporate the ECB's monetary policy spillover into decision-making processes. In particular, the international transmission of the unconventional monetary policy has a fundamental effect on the development of the price level, thus achieving price stability. In the case of implementing a counter-cyclical policy, it is also necessary to monitor conventional policy. However, there is no need to fight the spillover effect since there is no beggar-thy-neighbour problem, i.e., spillover effect works in the same direction in both domestic and foreign country.
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来源期刊
Acta Oeconomica
Acta Oeconomica ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
1.40
自引率
25.00%
发文量
29
期刊介绍: Acta Oeconomica publishes articles on Eastern European and Hungarian economic transition, theoretical and general issues of the transition process, economic policy, econometrics and mathematical economics. Space is also devoted to international economics, European integration, labour economics, industrial organisation, finance and business economics.Publishes book reviews and advertisements.
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