利用人工神经网络形成的多输入多输出模型对比分析河流流量预测

IF 1.5 Q4 WATER RESOURCES
S. Agarwal, P. Roy, P. Choudhury, N. Debbarma
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引用次数: 5

摘要

利用人工神经网络建立了一个基于存储的并发流量预测模型。非恒定流中的河流流量参数必须使用基于学习存储变化变量和瞬时存储率变化的模型公式进行建模。多输入多输出(MIMO)和多输入单输出(三种变体的MISO模型用于预测美国塔尔河流域的流量。本研究使用了伽马记忆神经网络以及MLP和TDNNs模型。在发布预测时,必须考虑河流流量的存储变量,这就是本研究包括这些变量的原因。在考虑质量平衡流量时,所提出的模型可以提供实时流量预测。使用诸如RMS误差和相关系数之类的各种统计标准来验证所获得的结果。对于这些模型,相关系数值大于0.96表示结果良好。在考虑质量平衡流时,结果显示了与明示和暗示提供的存储变化相对应的流量波动。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
River flow forecasting by comparative analysis of multiple input and multiple output models form using ANN
ANN was used to create a storage-based concurrent flow forecasting model. River flow parameters in an unsteady flow must be modeled using a model formulation based on learning storage change variable and instantaneous storage rate change. Multiple input-multiple output (MIMO) and multiple input-single output (MISO models in three variants were used to anticipate flow rates in the Tar River Basin in the United States. Gamma memory neural networks, as well as MLP and TDNNs models, are used in this study. When issuing a forecast, storage variables for river flow must be considered, which is why this study includes them. While considering mass balance flow, the proposed model can provide real-time flow forecasting. Results obtained are validated using various statistical criteria such as RMS error and coefficient of correlation. For the models, a coefficient of correlation value of more than 0.96 indicates good results. While considering the mass balance flow, the results show flow fluctuations corresponding to expressly and implicitly provided storage variations.
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来源期刊
H2Open Journal
H2Open Journal Environmental Science-Environmental Science (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
3.30
自引率
4.80%
发文量
47
审稿时长
24 weeks
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