新冠肺炎在北极地区传播的人口特征

IF 1.5 4区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY
V. Loginov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文讨论了后苏联时期和新冠肺炎大流行背景下北极地区人口再生产的特点。对人口动态进行了回顾性分析,确定了后苏联时期人口变化的因素。人们注意到,领土的经济发展和社会福利水平对人口指标的变化产生了重大影响,这些指标决定了人口自然增长和某些年份的机械增长的积极矢量和规模。根据社会经济和人口发展的特点,确定了影响新冠肺炎在俄罗斯联邦北极地区Yamalo-Nenets自治区传播的因素,以及冠状病毒的死亡率和发病率水平,以及它们对大流行两年来人口繁殖的影响,该地区及其直辖市的地理位置。研究了2020-2021年冠状病毒大流行作为超额死亡率主要来源的作用,以及人口发病率和死亡率对年龄结构的依赖性、冠状病毒感染传播的特征、人口水平和地理位置的影响。存在明显的区域内差异,地方在社会经济和人口方面都有自己的特点,以及疫情传播的特点。60岁以上的老年人是决定冠状病毒传播率和死亡人数的主要风险群体,这一假设已得到实证证实。通过分析本报告所述期间发病率和死亡率动态的统计数据,可以确定第一和第二指标波动从最低水平到峰值的周期性,峰值持续时间为8个月。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Demographic features of the COVID-19 spreading in the Arctic region
The article discusses the features of the reproduction of the population in the Arctic region in the post-Soviet period and in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. A retrospective analysis of the population dynamics is carried out and the factors of the population change in the post-Soviet period are identified. There is noted a significant impact of the economic development and social well-being level of the territory on the change in demographic indicators that determine the positive vector and scales of both natural and, in some years, mechanical population growth. The factors affecting the spread of COVID-19 in the Arctic subject of the Russian Federation — Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Okrug, and the level of mortality and morbidity from coronavirus, their impact on the population reproduction over two years of the pandemic has been identified, based on the characteristics of the socio-economic and demographic development, the geographical location of the region and its municipalities. The role of the coronavirus pandemic as the main source of excess mortality in 2020-2021, and the dependence of the morbidity and mortality of the population on the age structure, the characteristics of the spread of coronavirus infection, the impact of the population level and geographic location are examined. There are identified intra-regional differences and local areas having their own specifics, both in socio-economic and demographic terms, and features of the pandemic spread. The hypothesis about the role of older ages of 60+ as the main risk group in determining the rate of spread and the number of deaths due to the coronavirus has been empirically confirmed. Analysis of the statistical data on the dynamics of morbidity and mortality in the period under review made it possible to identify the cyclicity of the waves of the first and second indicators in time from the lowest level to the peak, the duration of which was eight months.
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来源期刊
Population
Population DEMOGRAPHY-
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