1929年的大萧条比希腊大萧条更严重吗?

Georgios Galatsidas, Pantelis Sklias, Spyros A. Roukanas
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:本文是在比较希腊经济大萧条和1929年美国经济大萧条的基础上进行分析。设计/方法/方法:本分析既不关注危机前的时期,也不关注危机的表现,也不关注在金融动荡爆发时导致希腊经济脆弱的结构性问题和经济政策。自危机爆发以来,整整十年过去了,各项政策得到了实施,目标明确,结果明确。这两个时期之间有明显的区别,它们似乎是相对独立的。危机本身的原因不同于把危机变成对经济和社会造成不可逆转后果的长期萧条的原因。发现:根据对实体经济的影响对两场危机进行比较表明,考虑到其对收入损失、萧条持续时间、失业率、股市指数等关键宏观经济总量的影响,希腊危机的后果比美国危机更为严重。研究局限/启示:本文考虑到希腊是欧元区成员国,而美国在大萧条时期拥有自主的货币政策。独创性/价值:对希腊经济的“救助”计划的顽固执行,不仅未能在债务和赤字方面产生预期结果,而且对实体经济产生了毁灭性的影响。此外,我们应该关注缺乏国家规划和精心规划的实际和可持续发展的实体经济,并引申到经济增长。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Was the Great Depression of 1929 Harsher than the Greek Depression?
Purpose: This paper is an analysis based on the comparison of the Greek Depression with the Great Depression of 1929 in the US. Design/methodology/approach: This analysis does neither focus on the pre-crisis period, nor on the manifestation of the crisis or the structural problems and economic policies that rendered the Greek economy vulnerable when the financial turmoil broke out. An entire decade has passed since the onset of the crisis, and various policies have been implemented, with explicitly stated goals and specific results. A clear distinction is made between these two periods, which appear to be relatively independent. The causes of the crisis itself are different than the causes that turned the crisis into a prolonged depression with irreversible consequences for the economy and the society. Finding: The comparison of the two crises on the basis of their effects on the real economy demonstrates that the Greek crisis had harsher consequences than the US crisis, taking into account its impact on key macroeconomic aggregates such as the income loss, the duration of the depression, the unemployment, the stock market index. Research limitations/implications: This paper takes into account that Greece is a member state of Eurozone, on the other hand U.S.A had an autonomous monetary policy during the Great Depression. Originality/value: The stubborn implementation of the “bailout” programme for the Greek economy not only has failed to produce the expected results as regards the debt and the deficits, but has also had devastating effects on the real economy. In addition, we ought to focus on the lack of national planning and a carefully planned actual and sustainable development of the real economy and, by extension, economic growth.
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