亚洲新兴经济体的资本账户政策

Juthathip Jongwanich
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文从资本账户政策影响资本流动量和构成、缓解实际汇率压力和促进货币政策独立性的能力方面考察了资本账户政策的有效性。使用10个亚洲新兴经济体作为案例研究,评估2000-2005年资本账户政策的有效性。研究结果表明,某些类型的资本管制在减少资本流动量和实际汇率压力方面是有效的。汇率制度的选择关系到资本管制对促进货币政策独立性的有效性。尽管某些类型的资本管制在创造宏观经济稳定方面是有效的,但执行资本账户政策需要谨慎。这是因为资本管制之间的替代性或互补性在该区域各国内部和各国之间都很明显。对于将资本流入的构成转向更稳定和长期的流动,强劲的经济基本面似乎比资本账户政策更重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Capital Account Policies in Emerging Asian Economies:
This paper examines the effectiveness of capital account policy in terms of its ability to affect the volume and composition of capital flows, relieve pressures on real exchange rates, and foster monetary policy independence. Ten emerging Asian economies are used as case studies to assess the effectiveness of capital account policy during 2000–2015. The results suggest that some types of capital controls are effective in reducing the volume of capital flows and pressure on real exchange rates. The choice of exchange rate regime matters in terms of the effectiveness of capital controls for fostering monetary policy independence. Although some types of capital controls are effective in creating macroeconomic stability, implementing capital account policy needs to be undertaken with caution. This is because substitution or complementarity among capital controls is evident, both within and across countries in the region. It seems that strong economic fundamentals are more important than capital account policy for changing the composition of capital inflows toward more stable and long-term flows.
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