旅游业在发展中国家的减贫作用:它真的适用于坦桑尼亚吗?

IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES
D. Jani, Petro Magai
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要尽管旅游业有所增长,但旅游业对减贫的贡献值得怀疑。利用以贫困指数为因变量的二次数据,对坦桑尼亚1987年至2020年的旅游价值、贸易总值、外国直接投资、国内生产总值和汇率的影响进行了计量经济时间序列分析。长期效应的结果表明,所有五个变量都对作为贫困指标的人类发展产生了显著影响。与其他变量不同,外国直接投资具有负面影响。这些结果为撒哈拉以南非洲的坦桑尼亚这样的发展中国家的旅游业主导增长假说提供了支持。因此,在促进出口贸易便利化的同时继续促进旅游业,将其作为减贫手段是合乎逻辑的。应继续吸引外国直接投资,但应考虑到促进当地商业与旅游业联系的政策、法规和商业环境,这将减少利润流失。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Tourism for poverty reduction in developing countries: Does it really hold for Tanzania?
ABSTRACT Despite the increase in tourism, the contribution of tourism to poverty reduction is questionable. Using secondary data with poverty index as a dependent variable, the effects of tourism value, total trade value, foreign direct investment, gross domestic product, and exchange rates were tested using econometric time series analysis for Tanzania from 1987 to 2020. The results for the long-run effects indicate all five variables significantly influence on human development as a proxy for poverty. Foreign direct investment has a negative effect, unlike the other variables. These results offer support to the Tourism Led Growth Hypothesis for a developing country like Tanzania in sub-Saharan Africa. Thus it is logical to continue promoting tourism in conjunction with the facilitation of export trade as a means of poverty reduction. Attracting foreign direct investments should continue but put into consideration policies, regulations, and the business environment that facilitate local business linkages with tourism which will reduce profit leakages.
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来源期刊
Development Southern Africa
Development Southern Africa DEVELOPMENT STUDIES-
CiteScore
4.20
自引率
7.10%
发文量
42
期刊介绍: The Development Southern Africa editorial team are pleased to announce that the journal has been accepted into the Thomson Reuters (formerly ISI) Social Science Citation Index. The journal will receive its first Impact Factor in 2010. Development Southern Africa offers a platform for expressing views and encouraging debate among development specialists, policy decision makers, scholars and students in the wider professional fraternity and especially in southern Africa. The journal publishes articles that reflect innovative thinking on key development challenges and policy issues facing South Africa and other countries in the southern African region.
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