COVID-19感染率和居家时间:对大流行开始的分析

IF 0.2 Q4 INFECTIOUS DISEASES
V. Soares, Hélio Mamoru Yoshida, D. Leme, R. A. C. Sampaio, Gabriel de Oliveira Rufino, P. Fernandes
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引用次数: 0

摘要

背景和目的:有证据表明,流行病学控制的失败阻碍了社会经济活动的恢复。因此,本研究旨在描述各大洲的流行病学方面和流动模式,并验证COVID-19感染率与在家时间之间的关联。方法:对截至2020年5月27日的97个国家的全球定位系统报告及其流行病学指标进行分析。结果:新增病例22例~ 1745803例,死亡0例~ 102107例。每10万人中发病率最高的是欧洲和美洲。大约54%的COVID-19病例发生在美国,51%的死亡病例发生在欧洲。各国减少了零售和娱乐(-43.45%±20.42%)、杂货店和药房(-17.95%±20.82%)、公园(-18.77%±37.34%)、中转站(-43.09%±20.31%)、工作场所(-21.74%±19.92%)的流动性,并增加了在家的时间(13.00%±8.80%)。线性回归结果显示,与美洲大陆居民相比,欧洲居民待在家里的时间更少(β=-4.933, SE=0.976, p< 0.001)。此外,每10万人感染率每增加一个单位,平均居家时间增加0.005点(β=0.005, SE=0.001, p< 0.001)。结论:我们提供的证据表明,COVID-19感染率的增加与居家时间的增加有关。作为一个主要教训,2019冠状病毒病表明,在缺乏药物资源的情况下,政府当局需要迅速采取行动,遏制传染病的传播。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
COVID-19 infection rate and time spent at home: analysis of the beginning of the pandemic
Background and Objectives: Evidence suggests that the failure of epidemiological control impedes the resumption of socioeconomic activities.  Therefore, this study aimed to describe epidemiological aspects and the pattern of mobility on each continent and to verify the association between the COVID-19 infection rate and time spent at home. Methods: We analyzed reports from Global Positioning System of 97 countries and their epidemiological indicators until May 27, 2020. Results: Cases of COVID-19 ranged from 22 to 1,745,803, and deaths ranged from 0 to 102,107. The highest rates per 100,000 population were observed in Europe and America. Approximately 54% of COVID-19 cases occurred in America and 51% of deaths in Europe. Countries reduced mobility in retail and recreation (-43.45%±20.42%), grocery and pharmacy (-17.95%±20.82%), parks (-18.77%±37.34%), transit stations (-43.09%±20.31%), workplaces (-21.74%±19.92%), and increased time spent at home (13.00%±8.80%). Linear regression showed that European inhabitants stayed at home less when compared those on the American continent (β=-4.933, SE=0.976, p<.001). In addition, every unit increase in the infection rate per 100,000 population increased 0.005 points in the mean time spent at home (β=0.005, SE=0.001, p<.001). Conclusions: We provide evidence that increased infection rate of COVID-19 is associated with increased length of stay at home. As a main lesson, COVID-19 showed that in the absence of pharmacological resources, government authorities need to act quickly to contain the spread of infectious diseases.
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