经济政策不确定性对澳大利亚股市的动态影响:一个洲际证据

IF 1.2 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE
R. K. Bairagi
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引用次数: 5

摘要

本研究通过1998年1月至2021年1月的月度观察,实证调查了来自四大洲的五个国家的经济政策不确定性对澳大利亚股市的影响。动态链接模型表明,EPU受到其自身滞后效应的负面影响,以及双向波动溢出和股票市场回报单向溢出到相应经济体的EPU。该研究记录了源自澳大利亚股市的冲击对其自身和中国的EPU产生了负面影响,对欧洲和日本的EPU也产生了正面影响。源自澳大利亚、欧洲、中国和日本的EPU的冲击对澳大利亚股市产生了显著的负面影响。EPU的双向波动性可以为投资组合投资者在澳大利亚寻找可能的对冲机会提供见解。所报告的澳大利亚EPU驱动因素可纳入制定和实施对EPU敏感的澳大利亚贸易政策。JEL:G15、G17、G18
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Dynamic Impacts of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Australian Stock Market: An Intercontinental Evidence
This study empirically investigates the impacts of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) of five countries from four continents on the Australian stock market with monthly observations from January 1998 to January 2021. The dynamic linkage model reports that EPUs are negatively influenced by their own lagged effect along with bidirectional volatility spillover and the returns of stock markets unidirectionally spillover to the EPU of the corresponding economy. The study documents that shocks originated in the Australian stock market spillover negatively onto its own EPU and that of China and positively onto EPUs of Europe and Japan. The shocks originated in EPUs of Australia, Europe, China, and Japan significantly negatively impact the Australian stock market. The bidirectional volatilities of EPUs can offer insight for portfolio investors in searching the possible hedging opportunities in Australia. The reported drivers of Australian EPU can be incorporated in formulating and implementing the EPU-sensitive Australian trade policies. JEL: G15, G17, G18
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.80
自引率
33.30%
发文量
19
期刊介绍: The Journal of Emerging Market Finance is a forum for debate and discussion on the theory and practice of finance in emerging markets. While the emphasis is on articles that are of practical significance, the journal also covers theoretical and conceptual aspects relating to emerging financial markets. Peer-reviewed, the journal is equally useful to practitioners and to banking and investment companies as to scholars.
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