媒体恐惧对新冠肺炎疫情控制的影响:一项数学研究

IF 1.4 Q2 MATHEMATICS, APPLIED
C. Maji
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引用次数: 5

摘要

COVID-19大流行已经把世界的威胁很长一段时间它是首次发现在武汉,中国,2019年12月,已被世界卫生组织宣布大流行这种疾病主要是由于严重急性呼吸系统综合症冠状病毒2 (SARS-CoV-2)到目前为止,没有疫苗或药物开发适当的治疗这种疾病,所以人们害怕感染流感大流行已经将许多国家社会经济紧急情况因此,门口预测本次疫情的发展趋势是非常重要的,我们知道数学建模是研究疾病动态行为和预测疾病传播趋势的基本工具。在本研究中,我们通过在疾病传播率中引入具有媒体诱导恐惧的隔离类,建立了COVID-19疫情的数学模型来分析本次疫情的动态行为。我们观察到,当R0为1时,系统是永久的,并且存在一个唯一的地方性平衡点,利用Li和Muldowney的高维Bendixson判据建立了地方性平衡点的全局稳定性。[摘要]版权归Hindawi Limited所有,未经版权所有人的明确书面许可,其内容不得复制或通过电子邮件发送给多个网站或发布到listserv。本摘要可能被删节,不保证副本的准确性,用户应参考材料的原始出版版本(版权适用于所有摘要)
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of Media-Induced Fear on the Control of COVID-19 Outbreak: A Mathematical Study
The COVID-19 pandemic has put the world in threat for a long time It was first identified in Wuhan, China, in December 2019 and has been declared a pandemic by the WHO This disease is mainly caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) So far, no vaccine or medicine has been developed for the proper treatment of this disease, so people are afraid of getting infected The pandemic has placed many nations at the door of socioeconomic emergencies Therefore, it is very important to predict the development trend of this epidemic, and we know mathematical modelling is a basic tool to research the dynamic behaviour of disease and predict the spreading trend of the disease In this study, we have formulated a mathematical model for the COVID-19 outbreak by introducing a quarantine class with media-induced fear in the disease transmission rate to analyze the dynamic behaviour of this epidemic We have calculated the basic reproduction number R0, and we observed that when R0 1, then the system is permanent and there exists a unique endemic equilibrium point Global stability of the endemic equilibrium point is developed by using Li and Muldowney's high-dimensional Bendixson criterion Finally, some numerical simulations are performed using MATLAB to verify our analytical results [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] Copyright of International Journal of Differential Equations is the property of Hindawi Limited and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use This abstract may be abridged No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract (Copyright applies to all Abstracts )
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
20
审稿时长
20 weeks
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