2023年初的意大利政治

IF 2.2 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE
James L. Newell
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The early introduction of legislation ostensibly outlawing rave parties gave rise to a minor public outcry (forcing the government to amend the legislation) when it became apparent that one implication of it would be to outlaw demonstrations and other legitimate expressions of protest. Less than two months after taking office, the Government was locked in conflict with humanitarian vessels rescuing asylum seekers at risk of drowning in the Mediterranean. In December, it was busy keeping its promise to dismantle the anti-poverty citizenship income as well pursuing so-called ‘flat tax’ proposals in conflict with principles of progressivity. 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引用次数: 1

摘要

2023年初,意大利由一个政党联盟执政,该联盟对明确的右翼政策议程的追求反映了其稳固的议会多数席位(众议院400个席位中有237个,参议院200个席位中的115个)和左翼势力的弱点。自10月22日政府宣誓就职以来的这段时间充分证实,政府的就职是意大利政治明显右倾的前奏。Ignazio La Russa和Lorenzo Fontana分别当选为参议院和众议院议长,这让人感到惊讶,因为他们过去曾表示支持各种事业。早期出台的表面上禁止狂欢派对的立法引起了轻微的公众抗议(迫使政府修改立法),因为它的一个含义显然是禁止示威和其他合法的抗议表达。上任不到两个月,政府就与在地中海营救有溺水风险的寻求庇护者的人道主义船只发生冲突。去年12月,它正忙于履行取消反贫困公民收入的承诺,并推行与进步原则相冲突的所谓“统一税”提案。因此,《共和国报》编辑毛里齐奥·莫里纳里在1月4日回顾新政府成立的头100天(或者更准确地说,是成立的头74天)时,感动地注意到,在一个有1500万人口生活在贫困线以下的国家,政府议程确实存在着不平等加剧的风险。极端的不平等不仅严重限制了许多处于分配底层的人的权力和机会,还限制了政府投资应对气候变化等21世纪挑战的能力。例如,《2022年世界不平等报告》的作者指出,大幅累进税对于确保增税在政治和社会上的可接受性至关重要,增税使20世纪中期现代福利国家的崛起成为可能。他们指出,鉴于大量财富越来越集中在分配的顶端,即使是“适度的累进税也能为政府带来可观的收入”。意大利的财富集中度很高——2021年,收入最高的10%人口拥有48%的家庭财富,而收入最低的一半人口只拥有10%——但低于大多数欧盟国家。因此,虽然它不像可比国家那样是一个重大问题,但它不太可能失去作为一个政治问题的突出性。例如,考虑到收入和财富不平等与气候变化贡献的差异密切相关,而且这种差异是极端的,很明显,有效的气候政策需要更多地针对富裕的污染者。例如,在意大利,2019年排放量最高的1%的国家平均人均产生63.0吨二氧化碳,排放量最低的50%为5.2吨。法国的经验——2018年,法国上调了碳税,并废除了《2023年当代意大利政治》,第15卷,第1期,第1-4页https://doi.org/10.1080/23248823.2023.2167317
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Italian politics at the start of 2023
At the beginning of 2023, Italy was governed by a coalition of parties whose pursuit of an unambiguously right-wing policy agenda reflected its solid parliamentary majority (amounting to 237 of 400 seats in the Chamber of Deputies and 115 of 200 seats in the Senate) and the weaknesses of the forces of the left. The period since the Government had been sworn in on 22 October had provided ample confirmation that its assumption of office had been the prelude to a clear rightward shift in Italian politics. The election of Ignazio La Russa and Lorenzo Fontana as presidents of the Senate and Chamber respectively had raised eyebrows in view of their past expressions of support for farright causes. The early introduction of legislation ostensibly outlawing rave parties gave rise to a minor public outcry (forcing the government to amend the legislation) when it became apparent that one implication of it would be to outlaw demonstrations and other legitimate expressions of protest. Less than two months after taking office, the Government was locked in conflict with humanitarian vessels rescuing asylum seekers at risk of drowning in the Mediterranean. In December, it was busy keeping its promise to dismantle the anti-poverty citizenship income as well pursuing so-called ‘flat tax’ proposals in conflict with principles of progressivity. It was not surprising, therefore, that in reflecting, on 4 January, on the new government’s first 100 days (or, more accurately, its first 74 days), la Repubblica editor, Maurizio Molinari, was moved to observe that in a country with 15 million people living below the poverty threshold there was a real risk of growing inequality arising from the Government’s agenda. Extreme inequality not only significantly restricts the power and opportunities available to the many at the bottom of the distribution it also restricts the ability of governments to invest in meeting the challenges of the twenty-first century such as climate change. For example, the authors of the ‘World Inequality Report 2022’ make the point that steeply progressive taxation was crucial to ensuring the political and social acceptability of the increased taxation that made possible the rise of the modern welfare states of the middle of the twentieth century. They point out that given the very large volumes of wealth increasingly concentrated at the top of the distribution, even ‘modest progressive taxes can generate significant revenues for governments’. Wealth concentration in Italy is high – in 2021, the top 10% of the population owned 48% of household wealth, while the bottom half held just 10% – but lower than in most EU countries. Therefore, while it is not as significant a problem as in comparable countries, it is unlikely to lose its salience as a political issue. For example, bearing in mind that income and wealth inequalities are tightly connected to differences in contributions to climate change and that such differences are extreme, it is clear that effective climate policies will need to target the wealthy polluters more. In Italy, for instance, the top 1% of emitters in 2019 produced on average 63.0 tonnes of CO2 per capita, the bottom 50%, 5.2 tonnes. The experience of France – where in 2018 a hike in the carbon tax, combined with the abolition of the CONTEMPORARY ITALIAN POLITICS 2023, VOL. 15, NO. 1, 1–4 https://doi.org/10.1080/23248823.2023.2167317
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来源期刊
Contemporary Italian Politics
Contemporary Italian Politics Social Sciences-Political Science and International Relations
CiteScore
4.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
40
期刊介绍: Contemporary Italian Politics, formerly Bulletin of Italian Politics, is a political science journal aimed at academics and policy makers as well as others with a professional or intellectual interest in the politics of Italy. The journal has two main aims: Firstly, to provide rigorous analysis, in the English language, about the politics of what is one of the European Union’s four largest states in terms of population and Gross Domestic Product. We seek to do this aware that too often those in the English-speaking world looking for incisive analysis and insight into the latest trends and developments in Italian politics are likely to be stymied by two contrasting difficulties. On the one hand, they can turn to the daily and weekly print media. Here they will find information on the latest developments, sure enough; but much of it is likely to lack the incisiveness of academic writing and may even be straightforwardly inaccurate. On the other hand, readers can turn either to general political science journals – but here they will have to face the issue of fragmented information – or to specific journals on Italy – in which case they will find that politics is considered only insofar as it is part of the broader field of modern Italian studies[...] The second aim follows from the first insofar as, in seeking to achieve it, we hope thereby to provide analysis that readers will find genuinely useful. With research funding bodies of all kinds giving increasing emphasis to knowledge transfer and increasingly demanding of applicants that they demonstrate the relevance of what they are doing to non-academic ‘end users’, political scientists have a self-interested motive for attempting a closer engagement with outside practitioners.
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