印度园艺与经济增长:计量经济学分析

Q4 Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology
Ananya Mitra, Shradhanjali Panda
{"title":"印度园艺与经济增长:计量经济学分析","authors":"Ananya Mitra, Shradhanjali Panda","doi":"10.37855/JAH.2020.V22I03.42","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"India’s horticulture production has shown manifold increase in the past two decades and the country is ranking second in the world only next to China. Keeping in mind, the increasing trend in horticulture production and individual product, the purpose of the current paper was to study the short run and long run relation between economic growth and horticulture production as a whole. The study used secondary data on horticulture production and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) from 2001 to 2018. The econometric tools used were Granger Causality Test, Johansen Cointegration test, VECM model and OLS. Johansen Cointegration Test showed that there is long run relation between the variables; The Vector Error Correction model and its probability output showed that there is no significant short run relation between variables except one, that is when horticulture production is considered as independent variable and GDP as dependent variable. Granger Casualty Test showed absence of cause and effect relation (both way) between the three variables. Out of all variables, OLS showed a significant relation only between GDP and horticulture production.The study revealed that horticulture production shares a linear relationship with GDP both as dependent and as independent variable, but the association does not satisfy Granger Causality Test, indicating that there was no cause and effect relation between the variables. Given that agriculture is the backbone of Indian economy, the absence of short run relation between horticulture and food grain production and food grain with GDP is a matter of concern.","PeriodicalId":39205,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Applied Horticulture","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2020-12-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"2","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Horticulture and economic growth in India: An econometric analysis\",\"authors\":\"Ananya Mitra, Shradhanjali Panda\",\"doi\":\"10.37855/JAH.2020.V22I03.42\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"India’s horticulture production has shown manifold increase in the past two decades and the country is ranking second in the world only next to China. Keeping in mind, the increasing trend in horticulture production and individual product, the purpose of the current paper was to study the short run and long run relation between economic growth and horticulture production as a whole. The study used secondary data on horticulture production and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) from 2001 to 2018. The econometric tools used were Granger Causality Test, Johansen Cointegration test, VECM model and OLS. Johansen Cointegration Test showed that there is long run relation between the variables; The Vector Error Correction model and its probability output showed that there is no significant short run relation between variables except one, that is when horticulture production is considered as independent variable and GDP as dependent variable. Granger Casualty Test showed absence of cause and effect relation (both way) between the three variables. Out of all variables, OLS showed a significant relation only between GDP and horticulture production.The study revealed that horticulture production shares a linear relationship with GDP both as dependent and as independent variable, but the association does not satisfy Granger Causality Test, indicating that there was no cause and effect relation between the variables. Given that agriculture is the backbone of Indian economy, the absence of short run relation between horticulture and food grain production and food grain with GDP is a matter of concern.\",\"PeriodicalId\":39205,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Applied Horticulture\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-12-25\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"2\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Applied Horticulture\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.37855/JAH.2020.V22I03.42\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Applied Horticulture","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.37855/JAH.2020.V22I03.42","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2

摘要

在过去的二十年里,印度的园艺产量出现了多方面的增长,该国在世界上排名第二,仅次于中国。考虑到园艺生产和单项产品的增长趋势,本文的目的是从整体上研究经济增长与园艺生产之间的短期和长期关系。该研究使用了2001年至2018年园艺生产和国内生产总值的二次数据。使用的计量经济学工具有Granger因果关系检验、Johansen协整检验、VECM模型和OLS。Johansen协整检验表明,各变量之间存在长期关系;向量误差校正模型及其概率输出表明,除了园艺生产被视为自变量、GDP被视为因变量外,变量之间没有显著的短期关系。Granger伤亡测试显示三个变量之间没有因果关系(双向)。在所有变量中,OLS仅显示GDP和园艺生产之间存在显著关系。研究表明,园艺生产与GDP之间存在线性关系,既有因变量,也有自变量,但这种关系不满足Granger因果关系检验,表明变量之间没有因果关系。鉴于农业是印度经济的支柱,园艺与粮食生产以及粮食与GDP之间缺乏短期关系令人担忧。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Horticulture and economic growth in India: An econometric analysis
India’s horticulture production has shown manifold increase in the past two decades and the country is ranking second in the world only next to China. Keeping in mind, the increasing trend in horticulture production and individual product, the purpose of the current paper was to study the short run and long run relation between economic growth and horticulture production as a whole. The study used secondary data on horticulture production and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) from 2001 to 2018. The econometric tools used were Granger Causality Test, Johansen Cointegration test, VECM model and OLS. Johansen Cointegration Test showed that there is long run relation between the variables; The Vector Error Correction model and its probability output showed that there is no significant short run relation between variables except one, that is when horticulture production is considered as independent variable and GDP as dependent variable. Granger Casualty Test showed absence of cause and effect relation (both way) between the three variables. Out of all variables, OLS showed a significant relation only between GDP and horticulture production.The study revealed that horticulture production shares a linear relationship with GDP both as dependent and as independent variable, but the association does not satisfy Granger Causality Test, indicating that there was no cause and effect relation between the variables. Given that agriculture is the backbone of Indian economy, the absence of short run relation between horticulture and food grain production and food grain with GDP is a matter of concern.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
Journal of Applied Horticulture
Journal of Applied Horticulture Agricultural and Biological Sciences-Horticulture
CiteScore
0.90
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
期刊介绍: The Journal of Applied Horticulture (JAH) is an official publication of the Society for the Advancement of Horticulture, founded in 1999. JAH is a triannual publication, publishes papers of original work (or results), & rapid communications and reviews on all aspects of Horticultural Science which can contribute to fundamental and applied research on horticultural plants and their related products. The essential contents of manuscripts must not have been published in other refereed publications. Submission of a manuscript to the Journal implies no concurrent submission elsewhere.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信