非洲国家如何应对气候变化问题并为社会经济发展优化人口红利?

S. Adedini
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在非洲所有54个国家努力克服各自不同的社会经济挑战的同时,气候危机以及不可持续的人口增长似乎正在威胁着整个非洲大陆国家和国际发展议程的实现。本文介绍了气候变化与人口动态的关系;非洲如何解决气候危机和人口快速增长的问题,并创造利用人口红利和加速经济增长的潜力。许多非洲国家需要采取必要措施实现迅速和持续的生育率过渡,包括提供获得高质量计划生育服务的机会、降低青少年生育率、教育女童、赋予妇女权力、降低五岁以下儿童死亡率和扩大劳动力市场机会。这些都是非洲生育率过渡和获得人口红利的必要条件。在非洲国家采取战略步骤促进生育率过渡和加速经济增长的同时,有必要采取紧急措施应对气候变化危机,因为气候变化危机似乎正在侵蚀整个非洲大陆的社会经济收益。虽然非洲只增加了全球温室气体排放量的一小部分,但该大陆承受了气候变化有害影响的不成比例的重要部分。如果不采取必要的行动来制止和扭转这些后果(例如健康危机、因恶劣天气破坏作物而造成的粮食不安全、生计遭到破坏和国内流离失所者人数增加),气候变化很可能对实现可持续发展目标和非洲联盟《2063年议程》产生重大负面影响。非洲有必要解决不可持续的人口增长和气候危机这两个问题。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
How Can African Countries Address Climate Change Problems and Optimise Demographic Dividends for Socioeconomic Development?
As all 54 countries in Africa strive to overcome their different socio-economic challenges, the climate crisis as well as the unsustainable population growth appear to be threatening the attainment of national and international development agenda across the continent. This paper presents the relationship between climate change and population dynamics; how Africa can address the problems of the climate crisis and rapid population growth, and create the potential to harness a demographic dividend and accelerate economic growth. Many African countries need to take necessary measures to achieve a rapid and sustained fertility transition, including providing access to quality family planning services, reducing adolescent fertility, educating female children, empowering women, reducing under-five mortality and expanding labour market opportunities. These are necessary conditions for fertility transition and reaping the benefit of a demographic dividend in Africa. As African countries take strategic steps to catalyse fertility transition and accelerate economic growth, there is a need to take urgent measures to fight the climate change crisis which appears to be eroding socio-economic gains across the continent. While Africa adds only a trifling fraction of the global greenhouse gas emissions, the continent bears a disproportionately significant portion of the detrimental impact of climate change. Without the necessary actions to stem and reverse the consequences (such as health crises, food insecurity due to the destruction of crops by severe weather, the destruction of livelihoods and increases in the numbers of internally displaced persons), climate change is likely to have significant negative effects on the achievement of the sustainable development goals and the African Union’s Agenda 2063. There is a need to address the twin problems of unsustainable population growth and climate crisis in Africa.
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