基于正交PCA-LPP降维和IGWO-BiLSTM的短期电力负荷预测

Q4 Engineering
Yahui Wang, Lingzhi Yi, Jiang Zhu, Jiangyong Liu, Shitong Wang, Bo Liu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

准确的电力负荷预测对保证电力负荷规划、可靠性和经济运行具有重要意义。传统的电力负荷容易受到气候、环境、日期类型等因素的影响,导致预测精度差的问题。因此,有必要对电力负荷预测进行研究。通过机器学习、降维方法和智能优化算法,提高了负荷预测的准确性。为了充分提取负荷信息,提高校园电力短期负荷预测的准确率,提出了一种正交降维和Bilstm的改进组合,以使用改进的灰狼算法来优化Bilstm中的超参数。首先,利用主成分分析(PCA)和保位投影(LPP)分别保持数据的全局和局部结构的优点,提出了正交PCA-LPP降维方法来降维原始多维数据。最后,将降维数据作为BiLSTM的输入,并通过改进的Gray-Wolf算法进行优化,可以增强模型的预测能力,从而实现对短期电力负荷的准确预测。本文的Mae和RMSE分别为1.6585和1.7602。结果表明,本文提出的方法是合理的。该方法已应用于电力负荷预测。对比实验结果表明,该方法降低了数据输入的维数,简化了网络输入数据的复杂性,提高了负荷预测的准确性。与其他方法相比,它可以有效地提高负荷预测的准确性,为制定合理的电网运行模式和电网均衡调度提供依据。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Short-term power load forecasting based on orthogonal PCA-LPP dimension reduction and IGWO-BiLSTM
Accurate power load forecasting is of great significance in ensuring power load planning, reliability and economic operation. The traditional power load is easy to be affected by climate, environment, date type and other factors, resulting in the problem of poor forecasting accuracy. Therefore, it is necessary to study power load forecasting. Through machine learning, dimension reduction method and intelligent optimization algorithm, the accuracy of load forecasting is improved In order to fully extract load information and improve the accuracy of short-term load forecasting for campus electricity, an improved combination of orthogonal dimensionality reduction and Bilstm is proposed to optimize the hyperparameters in BiLSTM using an improved gray wolf algorithm. Firstly, using the advantages of principal component analysis (PCA) and Locality Preserving Projection (LPP) to maintain the global and local structure of the data, respectively, the Orthogonal PCA-LPP(OPCA-LPP) dimensionality reduction method is proposed to reduce the dimensionality of the original multidimensional data. Finally, the dimensionality-reduced data is used as the input of BiLSTM and optimized by the improved Gray Wolf algorithm, which can enhance the prediction capability of the model and thus achieve accurate prediction of short-term electric load. The Mae and RMSE of this paper are 1.6585 and 1.7602 respectively. The results show that the method proposed in this paper is reasonable This method is applied to power load forecasting. The comparative experimental results show that this method reduces the dimension of data input, simplifies the complexity of network input data, and improves the accuracy of load forecasting. Compared with other methods, it can effectively improve the accuracy of load forecasting, and provide a basis for formulating reasonable power grid operation mode and balanced dispatching of power grid.
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来源期刊
Recent Patents on Mechanical Engineering
Recent Patents on Mechanical Engineering Engineering-Mechanical Engineering
CiteScore
0.80
自引率
0.00%
发文量
48
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