阿拉伯联合酋长国沙迦市的降雨量和气温预测

Q2 Social Sciences

International Journal of Water Pub Date : 2019-01-16 DOI:10.1504/IJW.2019.10018444

A. Yilmaz, A. Shabib

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引用次数: 8

摘要

气候变化对水文循环和水资源具有重要影响。阿拉伯联合酋长国（UAE）的沙迦市位于世界上最缺水的地区之一。尽管气候变化预测和影响研究很重要，但专门针对沙迦市的研究很少。在这项研究中，首先，生成了近期和远期的月度降雨量和温度预测。然后，进行了趋势分析，以检测沙迦市未来降雨量和温度预测的趋势。这项研究的结果表明，沙迦市的平均气温预计在近期和远期分别上升12-17%，而年平均降雨量预计将下降1-53%。趋势分析显示，气温呈显著上升趋势，降雨量呈非显著下降趋势。这项研究将有助于沙迦市的气候变化影响和政策制定研究。

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Rainfall and air temperature projections for Sharjah City, United Arab Emirates

Climate change has significant effects on hydrological cycle and water resources. Sharjah City in the United Arab Emirates (UAE) is located in one of the most water-scarce regions of the world. Despite the importance of climate change projection and impact studies, those studies specifically for Sharjah City are rare. In this study, first, monthly rainfall and temperature projections were generated for near and far future. Then, trend analysis was conducted to detect trends in future rainfall and temperature projections for Sharjah City. Findings of this study showed that mean air temperature in Sharjah City is expected to rise up to 12-17% for near and far future respectively, whereas average annual rainfall is projected to decrease in the range of 1-53%. Trend analysis showed significant increasing air temperature trends and non-significant decreasing rainfall trends. This study will contribute to climate change impact and policy making studies in Sharjah City.

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来源期刊

International Journal of Water Social Sciences-Geography, Planning and Development

CiteScore

0.40

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： The IJW is a fully refereed journal, providing a high profile international outlet for analyses and discussions of all aspects of water, environment and society.