评估印度班加罗尔农村-城市界面的风险态度和时间偏好

IF 1.5 Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY
J. Wegmann, Daniel Hermann, O. Musshoff
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引用次数: 2

摘要

城市化是农业经济向服务业经济转型的主要驱动力。与此同时,城市化也可能改变偏好和态度,如风险和时间偏好,这些偏好和态度有助于经济增长并促进这种转变。为了研究城市化的影响,很少有研究比较农村和城市环境下的个人时间或风险偏好,报告的结果好坏参半。本研究分析了风险偏好和时间偏好如何沿着城乡界面变化,并评估了社会经济、社会文化和人口特征与这些偏好的相关性。使用这种方法可以深入了解在农村-城市界面反映城市化的不同阶段时,转型地区的偏好是如何改变的。设计/方法/方法采用实验方法,在2016/17年,在快速发展的印度大城市班加罗尔的城乡结合部,对1117个农业和非农业家庭的风险态度和时间偏好进行了调查。该研究报告了风险偏好和时间偏好的联合估计,并讨论了城市化对这些偏好的影响。调查结果显示,中国家庭的平均风险厌恶程度略高,而且非常不耐烦。研究结果还表明,农村地区的贴现率有所下降,而这些地区之间的风险偏好并没有太大差异。这一令人困惑的结果可能是农村和城市地区对2016年印度政府废钞政策的不同反应。原创性/价值本研究设计比较了一个中低收入国家快速城市化地区的农业和非农业家庭的风险和时间偏好。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Assessing risk attitudes and time preferences on the rural–urban interface of Bengaluru, India
PurposeUrbanization is a main driver of the transformation from agricultural-based economies to service-based economies. At the same time, urbanization might also alter preferences and attitudes such as risk and time preferences that contribute to economic growth and foster this transition. To study the effect of urbanization, few studies have compared individual time or risk preferences in rural and urban settings, reporting mixed results. This study analyses how risk and time preferences alter along the rural–urban interface and assesses the correlation of socio-economic, socio-cultural and demographic characteristics with these preferences. Using such an approach provides insights how preferences are altered in areas of transition as the rural–urban interface mirrors different stages of urbanization.Design/methodology/approachUsing experimental approaches, risk attitudes and time preferences of 1,117 agricultural and non-agricultural households were elicited along the rural–urban interface of the fast-developing Indian megacity Bengaluru in 2016/17. The study reports joint estimations of risk and time preferences and discusses the influence of urbanization on these preferences.FindingsResults show that households are on average slightly risk-averse and highly impatient. The results also indicate a decline in discount rates towards rural areas while risk preferences do not considerably differ between those areas. This puzzling result may be explained by difference response of rural and urban areas to the Demonetization policy of the Indian government in 2016.Originality/valueThe research design compares jointly estimated risk and time preferences of agricultural and non-agricultural households of a rapidly urbanizing area in a low-medium income country.
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来源期刊
Agricultural Finance Review
Agricultural Finance Review AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY-
CiteScore
3.70
自引率
18.80%
发文量
24
期刊介绍: Agricultural Finance Review provides a rigorous forum for the publication of theory and empirical work related solely to issues in agricultural and agribusiness finance. Contributions come from academic and industry experts across the world and address a wide range of topics including: Agricultural finance, Agricultural policy related to agricultural finance and risk issues, Agricultural lending and credit issues, Farm credit, Businesses and financial risks affecting agriculture and agribusiness, Agricultural policies affecting farm or agribusiness risks and profitability, Risk management strategies including the use of futures and options, Rural credit in developing economies, Microfinance and microcredit applied to agriculture and rural development, Financial efficiency, Agriculture insurance and reinsurance. Agricultural Finance Review is committed to research addressing (1) factors affecting or influencing the financing of agriculture and agribusiness in both developed and developing nations; (2) the broadest aspect of risk assessment and risk management strategies affecting agriculture; and (3) government policies affecting farm profitability, liquidity, and access to credit.
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