{"title":"行为问题早期发作的潜在类别分析:与预测整个人生过程中的冒犯行为的相关性","authors":"Thomas W. Wojciechowski","doi":"10.1080/1478601x.2020.1715392","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT Research has demonstrated the importance of early-life behavioral issues for predicting risk for offending throughout the life-course. However, there has yet to be any study that has examined how early behavior problems may cluster together and how these clusters predict offending across the life-course. Latent class analysis was used to identify behavior classes comprising the onset of the childhood behavior problems: cheating, disrupting class, being drunk/stoned, stealing, and fighting. Analysis of variance was used to identify between-class differences in risk/protective factors. Age–crime curves were identified for groups to measure offending throughout the life-course. Results indicated that a three-class model best fits the data (Low EOBP, FDC, DCSF). Groups differed in risk/protective factor profiles. Age–crime curves indicated that participants assigned to the DCSF group demonstrated more serious offending in adolescence and that the FDC and DCSF groups demonstrated more serious offending in early adulthood. Identification of individuals reporting disturbing class, fighting, and stealing in childhood may be at elevated risk for more serious offending in adolescence. This may place them at risk for encountering snares in the life-course.","PeriodicalId":45877,"journal":{"name":"CRIMINAL JUSTICE STUDIES","volume":"33 1","pages":"394 - 412"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9000,"publicationDate":"2020-01-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/1478601x.2020.1715392","citationCount":"2","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Latent class analysis of early onset of behavior problems: relevance for predicting offending across the life-course\",\"authors\":\"Thomas W. Wojciechowski\",\"doi\":\"10.1080/1478601x.2020.1715392\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"ABSTRACT Research has demonstrated the importance of early-life behavioral issues for predicting risk for offending throughout the life-course. However, there has yet to be any study that has examined how early behavior problems may cluster together and how these clusters predict offending across the life-course. Latent class analysis was used to identify behavior classes comprising the onset of the childhood behavior problems: cheating, disrupting class, being drunk/stoned, stealing, and fighting. Analysis of variance was used to identify between-class differences in risk/protective factors. Age–crime curves were identified for groups to measure offending throughout the life-course. Results indicated that a three-class model best fits the data (Low EOBP, FDC, DCSF). Groups differed in risk/protective factor profiles. Age–crime curves indicated that participants assigned to the DCSF group demonstrated more serious offending in adolescence and that the FDC and DCSF groups demonstrated more serious offending in early adulthood. Identification of individuals reporting disturbing class, fighting, and stealing in childhood may be at elevated risk for more serious offending in adolescence. This may place them at risk for encountering snares in the life-course.\",\"PeriodicalId\":45877,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"CRIMINAL JUSTICE STUDIES\",\"volume\":\"33 1\",\"pages\":\"394 - 412\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-01-17\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/1478601x.2020.1715392\",\"citationCount\":\"2\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"CRIMINAL JUSTICE STUDIES\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1080/1478601x.2020.1715392\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"CRIMINAL JUSTICE STUDIES","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/1478601x.2020.1715392","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Latent class analysis of early onset of behavior problems: relevance for predicting offending across the life-course
ABSTRACT Research has demonstrated the importance of early-life behavioral issues for predicting risk for offending throughout the life-course. However, there has yet to be any study that has examined how early behavior problems may cluster together and how these clusters predict offending across the life-course. Latent class analysis was used to identify behavior classes comprising the onset of the childhood behavior problems: cheating, disrupting class, being drunk/stoned, stealing, and fighting. Analysis of variance was used to identify between-class differences in risk/protective factors. Age–crime curves were identified for groups to measure offending throughout the life-course. Results indicated that a three-class model best fits the data (Low EOBP, FDC, DCSF). Groups differed in risk/protective factor profiles. Age–crime curves indicated that participants assigned to the DCSF group demonstrated more serious offending in adolescence and that the FDC and DCSF groups demonstrated more serious offending in early adulthood. Identification of individuals reporting disturbing class, fighting, and stealing in childhood may be at elevated risk for more serious offending in adolescence. This may place them at risk for encountering snares in the life-course.
期刊介绍:
Criminal Justice Studies, a quarterly refereed journal, publishes articles that deal with substantive criminal justice and criminological issues. The journal welcomes all articles that are relevant to the issue of criminal justice, as well as those that may be outside the field but have relevancy to the topic of criminal justice. Articles that cover public administration, issues of public policy, as well as public affairs issues are welcome. The journal also publishes relevant literature reviews, research notes and summary reports of innovative research projects in criminal justice. Qualitative and quantifiable articles are sought mainly from academics and researchers in the field, though articles from professionals will also be considered.