低信息选举中候选人局部性的影响:来自德国地方层面的证据

IF 2.5 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE
Jan A. Velimsky, Sebastián Block, M. Gross, Dominic Nyhuis
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引用次数: 1

摘要

有当地关系的候选人比没有这种关系的竞争对手表现得更好。我们关注本地效应的潜在机制,并假设选民更喜欢本地候选人是出于工具原因,期望更好的代表,以及出于共同的地方认同。为了验证这些预期,我们依靠德国北莱茵-威斯特伐利亚州地方选举中异常详细的选票。通过对2014年21个城市6503名候选人的选举结果进行多层次回归,我们证实了低信息选举中候选人地方性对选举成功的重要性。此外,我们还提供了这种关系背后机制的见解。虽然工具性动机独立于选民的构成,但大量老年选民放大了身份效应,而许多年轻选民、高住宅流动性和高人口密度则削弱了这种效应。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Probing the Effect of Candidate Localness in Low-Information Elections: Evidence from the German Local Level
Candidates with local ties perform better than their rivals without such attachments. We focus on the underlying mechanism of the localness effect and hypothesise that voters prefer local candidates for instrumental reasons, expecting better representation, and for reasons of a shared place identity. To test these expectations, we rely on the unusually detailed ballot for local elections in the German state of North Rhine-Westphalia. Using multi-level regressions of the electoral results of 6503 candidates running in 21 cities in 2014, we confirm the importance of candidate localness for electoral success in low-information elections. Furthermore, we provide insights into the mechanisms behind this relationship. While instrumental motivations are independent of the composition of the electorate, a large share of elderly voters amplifies the identity effect, whereas many young voters, a high residential mobility, and a high population density diminishes this effect.
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来源期刊
Political Studies
Political Studies POLITICAL SCIENCE-
CiteScore
8.00
自引率
3.20%
发文量
36
期刊介绍: Political Studies is a leading international journal committed to the very highest standards of peer review that publishes academically rigorous and original work in all fields of politics and international relations. The editors encourage a pluralistic approach to political science and debate across the discipline. Political Studies aims to develop the most promising new work available and to facilitate professional communication in political science.
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