不可忽略缺失数据的似然可辨识性和参数估计

Pub Date : 2022-05-27 DOI:10.1002/cjs.11704
Siming Zheng, Juan Zhang, Yong Zhou
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们确定了解决不可忽略缺失下的识别问题的充分条件,特别是当一些协变量值非随机缺失时,或者同时,响应也非随机缺失时,观测似然的可识别性。处理这些情况比处理不可忽视的无反应情况要困难得多,而且,据我们所知,同时失踪的情况以前从未讨论过。在这种情况下,我们提出了一些参数估计方法。举例说明,当某些协变量值存在非随机缺失时,我们采用带倾斜参数的半参数逻辑模型来模拟缺失机制,并使用基于广义矩量法的估算方程同时估计感兴趣的参数和倾斜参数。这种方法避免了对其他独立调查或验证样本的需求来估计未知的倾斜参数。推导了所提估计量的渐近性质,并对证明进行了修正,证明了在倾斜参数已知或未知但采用其他方法估计时,基于逆概率加权、增广逆概率加权和估计方程投影的估计方法具有相同的渐近效率。在仿真研究中,我们将我们的方法与各种替代方法进行了比较,发现我们的方法更加鲁棒和有效。
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Likelihood identifiability and parameter estimation with nonignorable missing data

We identify sufficient conditions to resolve the identification problem under nonignorable missingness, especially the identifiability of the observed likelihood when some of the covariate values are missing not at random, or, simultaneously, the response is also missing not at random. It is more difficult to tackle these cases than the nonignorable nonresponse case, and, to the best of our knowledge, the simultaneously missing case has never been discussed before. Under these conditions, we propose some parameter estimation methods. As an illustration, when some of the covariate values are missing not at random, we adopt a semiparametric logistic model with a tilting parameter to model the missingness mechanism and use an imputed estimating equation based on the generalized method of moments to estimate the parameters of interest and the tilting parameter simultaneously. This approach avoids the requirement for other independent surveys or a validation sample to estimate the unknown tilting parameter. The asymptotic properties of our proposed estimators are derived, and the proofs can be modified to show that our methods of estimation, which are based on inverse probability weighting, augmented inverse probability weighting, and estimating equation projection, have the same asymptotic efficiency when the tilting parameter is either known or unknown but estimated by some other method. In simulation studies, we compare our methods with various alternative approaches and find that our methods are more robust and effective.

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