羊群效应对埃及证券交易所风险定价的影响

M. Abd-Alla, M. Sobh
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们通过在Fama和French三因素模型中添加一个反映羊群行为的额外风险因素,来测试羊群行为对埃及证券交易所(EGX)风险定价的影响。除了Fama和French三因素模型中的原始风险因素外,我们构建了一个投资组合来模拟与羊群行为相关的额外风险因素。三因素模型将以其原始形式进行测试,并在添加羊群行为因素后重新测试。该研究基于Hwang和Salmon方法,其中基于Kaman滤波器的状态空间方法用于测量羊群行为。我们使用了2014年1月至2018年12月在EGX上市的50只股票的月度超额股票回报率。结果不支持Fama和French模型在添加羊群行为因子前后的结果,因此,羊群行为对埃及证券交易所的风险定价没有影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Impact of Herding on the Risk Pricing in the Egyptian Stock Exchange
We test the impact of herding behaviour on the risk pricing in the Egyptian Stock Exchange (EGX) by adding an additional risk factor reflecting herding behaviour to the Fama and French three-factor model. We construct a portfolio to mimic an additional risk factor related to herding behaviour, in addition to the original risk factors in the Fama and French three-factor model. The three-factor model will be tested in its original form and re-tested after adding the herding behaviour factor. The study is based on Hwang and Salmon methodology, in which the state space approach based on Kaman’s filter was used to measure herding behaviour. We used monthly excess stock returns of 50 stocks listed on the EGX from January 2014 to December 2018. The results do not support Fama and French model before and after adding the herding behaviour factor, therefore, there is no effect of herding behaviour on the risk pricing in the Egyptian Stock Exchange.
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