能源平准化成本和电厂寿命中的监管不确定性

IF 1 4区经济学 Q4 BUSINESS

Engineering Economist Pub Date : 2021-08-20 DOI:10.1080/0013791X.2021.1933283

David C. Rode, P. Fischbeck

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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要平准化能源成本通常用于决策和资本投资决策。它通过在假定的资产寿命内摊销资本成本来统一资本成本。资产的使用寿命通常被认为是确定的。但在许多电力应用中，寿命既不确定，也会受到监管冲击。在这些情况下，标准水平化的能源成本计算是不正确的，并且可能具有误导性。我们在寿命缩短的概率模型下使用期望提出了这一度量的修正版本，并展示了它对几种投资和政策应用的影响。

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The levelized cost of energy and regulatory uncertainty in plant lifetimes

Abstract The levelized cost of energy is commonly used in both policymaking and capital investment decisions. It unitizes capital costs by amortizing them over an assumed asset life. The life of the asset is usually assumed to be known with certainty. But in many electric power applications, the life is both uncertain and subject to regulatory shocks. In these cases, the standard levelized cost of energy calculation is incorrect and potentially misleading. We propose a corrected version of this measure using expectation under a probability model for shortened life and show its implications for several investment and policy applications.

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来源期刊

Engineering Economist ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL-OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE

CiteScore

2.00

自引率

0.00%

发文量

审稿时长

>12 weeks

期刊介绍： The Engineering Economist is a refereed journal published jointly by the Engineering Economy Division of the American Society of Engineering Education (ASEE) and the Institute of Industrial and Systems Engineers (IISE). The journal publishes articles, case studies, surveys, and book and software reviews that represent original research, current practice, and teaching involving problems of capital investment. The journal seeks submissions in a number of areas, including, but not limited to: capital investment analysis, financial risk management, cost estimation and accounting, cost of capital, design economics, economic decision analysis, engineering economy education, research and development, and the analysis of public policy when it is relevant to the economic investment decisions made by engineers and technology managers.