himawai -8红外卫星图像大气稳定性与云顶温度的Spearman秩相关及线性回归分析(以2022年5月22日冰雹为例)

Lestari Irene Purba, S. Humaidi, Yahya Darmawan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

这项研究基于2022年5月22日在宾贾市引发洪水的冰雹案例。本研究旨在了解Himawari-8卫星图像云顶温度数据的大气稳定性指数值的相关性和回归。因此,ERA-5再分析数据可用于预测冰雹事件中的云顶温度。本研究中使用的指标为CAPE、KI和TTI。使用的数据位于Binjai市,相关测试时间为2022年5月22日00UTC–24UTC。支持的数据以海面温度和风况的形式使用,并研究研究地点冰雹的原因。所使用的方法是Spearman秩相关性,其与以-0.651的K指数的相关值、-0.563的TT指数的相关性和-0.348的CAPE指数的相关性的形式获得的结果。简单的线性回归结果也显示出负梯度线。这表明稳定指数值的增加与云顶温度的降低是一致的。因此,在对流云形成导致冰雹的情况下,稳定性指数数据可以作为估计云顶温度的基准。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis Of Spearman Rank Correlation & Linear Regression Of Atmospheric Stability And Cloud Tops Temperature Of Himawari-8 IR Satellite Images (Case Study Of Hail On May 22, 2022)
This research is based on cases of hail that caused flooding in Binjai City on May 22, 2022. This study aims to see the correlation and regression of the Atmospheric Stability index value on cloud top temperature data from the Himawari-8 satellite imagery. So that the ERA-5 reanalysis data can be used to obtain cloud top temperatures in predicting hail events. The indices used in this study are CAPE, KI and TTI. The data used is located in Binjai City with correlation testing from 00UTC – 24UTC on May 22, 2022. Supported data is used in the form of sea surface temperature and wind conditions and looks at the causes of hail at the research location. The method used is Spearman's rank correlation with the results obtained in the form of a correlation value at the K index of -0.651, a correlation of the TT index of -0.563, and a correlation of the CAPE index of -0.348. The simple linear regression results also show a negative gradient line. This shows that the increase in the value of the stability index is in line with the decrease in cloud top temperature. So that the stability index data can be used as a benchmark in estimating cloud top temperatures in the case of convective cloud formation which causes hail.
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