金融一体化与经济绩效:来自南共体和西非经共体区域的比较证据

B. Onah
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摘要

本文研究了1993-2013年期间南部非洲发展共同体(SADC)和西非国家经济共同体(ECOWAS)国家金融一体化对经济增长的影响。使用Pesaran和Shin开发的Panel ARDL PMG模型,模型中捕获了其他控制变量(贸易开放度、通货膨胀、政府支出和制度质量)。研究发现,从长期来看,金融一体化对西非经共体地区的经济增长具有显著的积极影响。然而,即使在控制了必要的变量之后,金融一体化在决定南部非洲发展共同体地区的经济增长方面加剧了短期和长期的负面和不显著的影响。金融一体化对该地区经济增长的微不足道的负面影响归因于几个可能的因素,包括南部非洲发展共同体地区的金融发展水平低,这与南部非洲发展共同体国家等发展中国家普遍存在的治理水平差、金融稳定不稳定和脆弱或信誉低无关。研究结果表明,除其他外,增加金融一体化可以提高经济的生产能力,包括增加投资和有效配置资本,从而促进这些地区的经济增长。本文为更好地评估金融一体化和经济增长的过去和现在的理论提供了新的见解,特别是在比较南共体和西非经共体国家经济的单独影响方面。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Financial Integration and Economic Performance: Comparative Evidence from SADC and ECOWAS Regions
This paper examined the impact of financial integration on economic growth in Southern African Development Community (SADC) and Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) countries over the period 1993–2013. Using the Panel ARDL PMG Model developed by Pesaran and Shin, other control variables (trade openness, inflation, government expenditure, and institutional quality) were captured in the model. It was found that there is a significant and positive impact of financial integration on economic growth in the ECOWAS region in the long run. Whereas, even after controlling for necessary variables, financial integration exacerbates negative and insignificant effects in determining economic growth in the SADC region, both in the short run and long run. The insignificant and negative impact of financial integration on the region’s economic growth was attributed to several possible factors, including the low level of financial development in the SADC region, which is unconnected with the poor level of governance, unstable and fragile financial stability, or low creditworthiness, that are prevalent in developing countries like those in SADC countries. The findings suggest, amongst others, that increasing financial integration could improve the productive capacity of the economy, including more investments and the efficient allocation of capital, thus enhancing economic growth in these regions. This paper sheds new insights on a better evaluation of the past and present theorizing on the subjects of financial integration and economic growth, especially in comparing the separate effects on the economies of the SADC and ECOWAS countries.
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