弱点利用:预测社交设备将成为基于互联网的图形用户界面的继任者

Q2 Social Sciences
Jamy J. Li, M. Chignell
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引用次数: 0

摘要

现有的技术转型理论无法预测什么样的新技术范式将取代目前领先的、支持互联网的图形用户界面范式。本文介绍了一种初步的方法(“漏洞利用”)来解释四个技术“帝国”的兴衰:印刷品、电视、互联网和社交互动设备(如机器人、聊天机器人和物联网设备)。这种方法与技术扩散和颠覆性创新有关,但具有马歇尔·麦克卢汉将印刷品和电视描述为感官“延伸”的预测元素。它被应用于互联网,作为McLuhan最初分析之外的技术转型的历史例子,并解释了为什么过度接触屏幕渲染的数字媒体作为互联网的独家接入点可能会被计算智能、社交设备的新“时代”所取代。这种新方法可以帮助研究人员和技术人员概念化现有技术和新兴技术之间的使用过渡。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Weakness exploitation: Predicting socially communicative devices as a successor to internet-based graphical user interfaces
Existing theories of technology transitions cannot predict what new technological paradigm will supplant the currently leading, internet-enabled graphical user interface paradigm. This article introduces a preliminary approach (‘weakness exploitation’) to explain the rise and fall of four technology ‘empires’: print, television, the internet and socially interactive devices (such as robots, chatbots and internet of things devices). The approach is related to technology diffusion and disruptive innovation, but with a predictive element induced from Marshall McLuhan’s descriptions of print and television as ‘extensions’ of the senses. It is applied to the internet as an historical example of a technology transition outside of McLuhan’s original analysis and to explain why excessive exposure to screen-rendered digital media as the internet’s exclusive access point may be replaced by a new ‘age’ of computationally intelligent, socially communicative devices. This new approach can help researchers and technologists conceptualize transitions between usage of incumbent and emerging technologies.
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来源期刊
Explorations in Media Ecology
Explorations in Media Ecology Social Sciences-Cultural Studies
CiteScore
0.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
24
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