厄瓜多尔癌症甲状腺死亡率趋势

Enrique López Gavilánez, K. Franco, Angel Segale Bajana, Noemi Bautista Litardo, M. Chávez, Mario Hernández Bonilla, Narcisa Solorzano Romero, Marcos loor Goya
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引用次数: 5

摘要

目的:分析1990年至2016年厄瓜多尔男性和女性甲状腺癌症(TC)死亡率,并将其趋势与拉丁美洲和国际趋势进行比较。设计:一项基于人口的时间趋势研究,使用厄瓜多尔国家死亡登记处的数据库。方法:计算粗死亡率和年龄调整死亡率,并将年龄相关死亡率与世界人口(世界卫生组织)标准化。年龄标准化死亡率的趋势是通过连接点回归分析估计的。趋势表示为年度百分比变化(APC)和平均年度百分比变化。结果:在所选期间,TC总共导致2107人死亡(1475名女性和632名男性)。男性的死亡率在统计学上没有显著下降。在没有任何确定的接合点的情况下,估计的APC为-0.4%(P=0.70),平均AAPC为-0.0.4%(P=0.070)。在女性中,死亡率在1990年至1998年期间显著下降,估计APC为-6.6%(P<0.05)。然而,在1998年至2016年期间,死亡率显著增加,估计APC是5.4%(P<0.05),并确定了一个联合点;AAPC为1.4(P=0.30)。结论:厄瓜多尔男性TC死亡率呈下降趋势,而厄瓜多尔女性TC死亡率呈初始下降和最终上升趋势。我们的发现可以与全球数据进行对比,全球数据显示,男女TC死亡率都有所下降。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Trends of Thyroid Cancer Mortality Rates in Ecuador
Objective: To analyze thyroid cancer (TC) mortality rates from 1990 to 2016 in Ecuadorian men and women and compare their trends with Latin American and international trends. Design: A population-based temporal-trend study using the database of the Ecuadorian National Death Registry. Methods: Crude and age-adjusted mortality rates were calculated, and age-related mortality rates were standardized with the world population (WHO). Trends in age-standardized mortality rates were estimated by join point regression analysis. The trends were expressed as annual percentage change (APC) and average annual percentage change (AAPC). Results: In total, TC caused 2,107 deaths (1,475 women and 632 men) in the selected period. The mortality in men showed a statistically non-significant decrease. The estimated APC was −0.4% (P = 0.70), and the average AAPC was −0.4% (P = 0.70) without any identified jointpoint. In women, the mortality decreased significantly between 1990 and 1998, with the estimated APC being −6.6% (P < 0.05). However, it increased significantly from 1998 to 2016, with the estimated APC of 5.4% (P < 0.05), and a jointpoint was identified; the AAPC was 1.4 (P = 0.30). Conclusions: While TC mortality in Ecuadorian men showed a decrease, that in Ecuadorian women showed an initial decrease and a final increase. Our findings can be contrasted with the global data, which show decreases in TC mortality in both sexes.
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